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ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 8月3日~ 8月8日)

icon for ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 8月3日~ 8月8日)

ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 8月3日~ 8月8日)

新規
2026/08/03
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

8月3日

$0 Vol.

50%

8月4日

$0 Vol.

50%

8月5日

$0 Vol.

41%

8月6日

$0 Vol.

49%

8月7日

$0 Vol.

50%

8月8日

$0 Vol.

49%

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).President Trump's early August 2026 schedule includes extended time at Trump National Golf Club in Bedminster, New Jersey, followed by remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, amid a period of limited official White House events. These travel and private-club arrangements frequently result in fewer afternoon briefings or statements, allowing press operations to conclude earlier than on high-activity days. Senate state work periods beginning shortly after also reduce legislative news flow that might otherwise extend the news cycle. Traders evaluate daily lid timing against these patterns of lighter public calendars and historical precedents for rapid shutdowns when the president is out of town or engaged in non-public activities. No major policy announcements or congressional sessions are currently slated for the window that would alter this dynamic.

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/08/08
マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).President Trump's early August 2026 schedule includes extended time at Trump National Golf Club in Bedminster, New Jersey, followed by remarks in Las Vegas on August 5, amid a period of limited official White House events. These travel and private-club arrangements frequently result in fewer afternoon briefings or statements, allowing press operations to conclude earlier than on high-activity days. Senate state work periods beginning shortly after also reduce legislative news flow that might otherwise extend the news cycle. Traders evaluate daily lid timing against these patterns of lighter public calendars and historical precedents for rapid shutdowns when the president is out of town or engaged in non-public activities. No major policy announcements or congressional sessions are currently slated for the window that would alter this dynamic.

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/08/08
マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 8月3日~ 8月8日)」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「8月3日」で50%、次いで「8月4日」が50%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、50¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に50%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 8月3日~ 8月8日)」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 31, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 8月3日~ 8月8日)」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 8月3日~ 8月8日)」の現在のフロントランナーは「8月3日」で50%であり、市場がこの結果に50%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「8月4日」で50%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ホワイトハウスは午後6時30分までに完全な蓋をしますか? ( 8月3日~ 8月8日)」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。