Mark Wahlberg’s star draw and the film’s true-story premise of a mafia hitman partnering with a Black FBI agent in 1960s Mississippi underpin the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 4–8 million range for its September 4 Paramount wide release. As an R-rated historical crime thriller from director Elegance Bratton, the project benefits from established lead chemistry and marketing emphasis on its real events, yet faces typical Labor Day weekend softness and limited late-August tracking data that leaves room for variance based on final theater counts, reviews, and word-of-mouth. The even distribution across brackets reflects uncertainty over whether the star pairing and timely premise can overcome genre expectations and holiday timing versus delivering a modest mid-single-digit debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「手段を選ばず」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
400万〜500万 26%
500万~600万 26%
600万〜700万 25%
700万~800万 25%
400万未満
21%
400万〜500万
26%
500万~600万
26%
600万〜700万
25%
700万~800万
25%
800万ドル以上
24%
400万〜500万 26%
500万~600万 26%
600万〜700万 25%
700万~800万 25%
400万未満
21%
400万〜500万
26%
500万~600万
26%
600万〜700万
25%
700万~800万
25%
800万ドル以上
24%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Mark Wahlberg’s star draw and the film’s true-story premise of a mafia hitman partnering with a Black FBI agent in 1960s Mississippi underpin the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 4–8 million range for its September 4 Paramount wide release. As an R-rated historical crime thriller from director Elegance Bratton, the project benefits from established lead chemistry and marketing emphasis on its real events, yet faces typical Labor Day weekend softness and limited late-August tracking data that leaves room for variance based on final theater counts, reviews, and word-of-mouth. The even distribution across brackets reflects uncertainty over whether the star pairing and timely premise can overcome genre expectations and holiday timing versus delivering a modest mid-single-digit debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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