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icon for イーロン・マスクは2026年9月4日から9月11日までツイートしていますか?

イーロン・マスクは2026年9月4日から9月11日までツイートしていますか?

icon for イーロン・マスクは2026年9月4日から9月11日までツイートしていますか?

イーロン・マスクは2026年9月4日から9月11日までツイートしていますか?

200~219 19%

180〜199 17%

220〜239 16%

240〜259 14.9%

Polymarket

$211,863 Vol.

200~219 19%

180〜199 17%

220〜239 16%

240〜259 14.9%

Polymarket

$211,863 Vol.

20-39

$382 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$2,382 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$7,438 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$27,235 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$32,274 Vol.

1%

120-139

$10,486 Vol.

1%

140-159

$5,242 Vol.

3%

160〜179

$2,983 Vol.

9%

180〜199

$4,135 Vol.

17%

200~219

$5,336 Vol.

19%

220〜239

$4,668 Vol.

16%

240〜259

$2,905 Vol.

15%

260~279

$2,230 Vol.

10%

280~299

$2,215 Vol.

6%

300~319

$10,846 Vol.

3%

320~339

$3,101 Vol.

2%

340〜359

$3,212 Vol.

1%

360〜379

$5,800 Vol.

1%

380~399

$8,854 Vol.

<1%

400~419

$9,093 Vol.

<1%

420~439

$9,374 Vol.

<1%

440~459

$5,223 Vol.

<1%

460~479

$5,410 Vol.

<1%

480~499

$5,988 Vol.

<1%

500以上

$33,669 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X, with recent weekly totals landing between 160 and 260 tweets, anchors trader sentiment for the September 4–11 bracket. The tight spread across the 180–259 range reflects high week-to-week variability driven by news cycles, product updates, and public commentary rather than any single predictable cadence. Recent settlements, including a 220–239 finish the prior period, reinforce expectations of steady mid-to-high volume without an obvious catalyst to push counts dramatically higher or lower. Upcoming days could shift probabilities if major Tesla, SpaceX, or political developments trigger spikes in replies and original posts, though the current distribution shows traders pricing in a typical active week over outlier bursts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$211,863
終了日
2026/09/11
マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm on X, with recent weekly totals landing between 160 and 260 tweets, anchors trader sentiment for the September 4–11 bracket. The tight spread across the 180–259 range reflects high week-to-week variability driven by news cycles, product updates, and public commentary rather than any single predictable cadence. Recent settlements, including a 220–239 finish the prior period, reinforce expectations of steady mid-to-high volume without an obvious catalyst to push counts dramatically higher or lower. Upcoming days could shift probabilities if major Tesla, SpaceX, or political developments trigger spikes in replies and original posts, though the current distribution shows traders pricing in a typical active week over outlier bursts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$211,863
終了日
2026/09/11
マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスクは2026年9月4日から9月11日までツイートしていますか?」はPolymarket上の26個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「200~219」で19%、次いで「180〜199」が17%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、19¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に19%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスクは2026年9月4日から9月11日までツイートしていますか?」は$211.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Sep 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスクは2026年9月4日から9月11日までツイートしていますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている26個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスクは2026年9月4日から9月11日までツイートしていますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「200~219」で19%であり、市場がこの結果に19%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「180〜199」で17%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスクは2026年9月4日から9月11日までツイートしていますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。