Anthropic’s June 30 release of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as its most agentic midsize model yet with strong gains in tool use, planning, coding, and autonomous workflows, sets the baseline for the next Sonnet iteration. The model delivers performance near Opus 4.8 at lower cost, quickly becoming the default for free and Pro users while competing with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro on agentic benchmarks. Release cadence shows Sonnet updates roughly every three to four months, with Sonnet 4.6 arriving in February 2026. Traders are watching for signals around developer conferences, internal capability jumps, or competitive pressure that could accelerate a Sonnet 5.1 or successor before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,998 Vol.
2026/09/30
9月30日
50%
10月31日
80%
12月31日
97%
$11,998 Vol.
9月30日
$92 Vol.
50%
10月31日
$4,416 Vol.
80%
12月31日
$3,751 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 30 release of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as its most agentic midsize model yet with strong gains in tool use, planning, coding, and autonomous workflows, sets the baseline for the next Sonnet iteration. The model delivers performance near Opus 4.8 at lower cost, quickly becoming the default for free and Pro users while competing with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro on agentic benchmarks. Release cadence shows Sonnet updates roughly every three to four months, with Sonnet 4.6 arriving in February 2026. Traders are watching for signals around developer conferences, internal capability jumps, or competitive pressure that could accelerate a Sonnet 5.1 or successor before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
音量
$11,998終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 30 release of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as its most agentic midsize model yet with strong gains in tool use, planning, coding, and autonomous workflows, sets the baseline for the next Sonnet iteration. The model delivers performance near Opus 4.8 at lower cost, quickly becoming the default for free and Pro users while competing with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro on agentic benchmarks. Release cadence shows Sonnet updates roughly every three to four months, with Sonnet 4.6 arriving in February 2026. Traders are watching for signals around developer conferences, internal capability jumps, or competitive pressure that could accelerate a Sonnet 5.1 or successor before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$11,998終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s June 30 release of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as its most agentic midsize model yet with strong gains in tool use, planning, coding, and autonomous workflows, sets the baseline for the next Sonnet iteration. The model delivers performance near Opus 4.8 at lower cost, quickly becoming the default for free and Pro users while competing with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro on agentic benchmarks. Release cadence shows Sonnet updates roughly every three to four months, with Sonnet 4.6 arriving in February 2026. Traders are watching for signals around developer conferences, internal capability jumps, or competitive pressure that could accelerate a Sonnet 5.1 or successor before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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