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icon for Appleは2027年までに折りたたみ式iPhoneをリリースしますか?

Appleは2027年までに折りたたみ式iPhoneをリリースしますか?

icon for Appleは2027年までに折りたたみ式iPhoneをリリースしますか?

Appleは2027年までに折りたたみ式iPhoneをリリースしますか?

はい

90% 確率
Polymarket

$254,016 Vol.

はい

90% 確率
Polymarket

$254,016 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman confirm Apple's first foldable iPhone, expected to be branded as the iPhone Ultra, remains on track for a September 2026 launch alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. This timeline aligns with supply-chain updates showing Apple prioritizing the device after redirecting resources from a delayed foldable iPad. Earlier engineering hurdles noted by Nikkei raised brief delay risks into 2027, but trader consensus now favors a 2026 release given consistent analyst alignment and Apple's history of meeting major hardware milestones once production ramps. Key catalysts ahead include Apple's September event and any final certification or pre-order signals that could further solidify the schedule.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$254,016
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman confirm Apple's first foldable iPhone, expected to be branded as the iPhone Ultra, remains on track for a September 2026 launch alongside iPhone 18 Pro models. This timeline aligns with supply-chain updates showing Apple prioritizing the device after redirecting resources from a delayed foldable iPad. Earlier engineering hurdles noted by Nikkei raised brief delay risks into 2027, but trader consensus now favors a 2026 release given consistent analyst alignment and Apple's history of meeting major hardware milestones once production ramps. Key catalysts ahead include Apple's September event and any final certification or pre-order signals that could further solidify the schedule.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$254,016
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Appleは2027年までに折りたたみ式iPhoneをリリースしますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Appleは2027年より前に折りたたみ式iPhoneを発売しますか?」で90%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、90¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に90%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Appleは2027年までに折りたたみ式iPhoneをリリースしますか?」は$254Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 12, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Appleは2027年までに折りたたみ式iPhoneをリリースしますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Appleは2027年までに折りたたみ式iPhoneをリリースしますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Appleは2027年より前に折りたたみ式iPhoneを発売しますか?」で90%であり、市場がこの結果に90%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Appleは2027年までに折りたたみ式iPhoneをリリースしますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。