Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5, featuring a 1-million-token context window, thinking mode by default, and improved efficiency over Opus 4.8, has shifted trader focus to the timeline for the subsequent Opus model. The company’s rapid cadence—four Opus 4.x updates from February through May 2026—combined with its $30B Series G funding and Vercept acquisition, signals sustained development momentum against GPT-5 and Gemini 3. Traders weigh historical iteration patterns and competitive pressure when assessing whether a new Opus arrives before year-end or slips into 2027, with upcoming earnings calls and developer conferences likely to provide fresh signals on internal roadmaps.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/08/31
8月31日
8%
10月31日
59%
12月31日
91%
$2,029 Vol.
8月31日
$527 Vol.
8%
10月31日
$995 Vol.
59%
12月31日
$507 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5, featuring a 1-million-token context window, thinking mode by default, and improved efficiency over Opus 4.8, has shifted trader focus to the timeline for the subsequent Opus model. The company’s rapid cadence—four Opus 4.x updates from February through May 2026—combined with its $30B Series G funding and Vercept acquisition, signals sustained development momentum against GPT-5 and Gemini 3. Traders weigh historical iteration patterns and competitive pressure when assessing whether a new Opus arrives before year-end or slips into 2027, with upcoming earnings calls and developer conferences likely to provide fresh signals on internal roadmaps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
音量
$2,029終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5, featuring a 1-million-token context window, thinking mode by default, and improved efficiency over Opus 4.8, has shifted trader focus to the timeline for the subsequent Opus model. The company’s rapid cadence—four Opus 4.x updates from February through May 2026—combined with its $30B Series G funding and Vercept acquisition, signals sustained development momentum against GPT-5 and Gemini 3. Traders weigh historical iteration patterns and competitive pressure when assessing whether a new Opus arrives before year-end or slips into 2027, with upcoming earnings calls and developer conferences likely to provide fresh signals on internal roadmaps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,029終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5, featuring a 1-million-token context window, thinking mode by default, and improved efficiency over Opus 4.8, has shifted trader focus to the timeline for the subsequent Opus model. The company’s rapid cadence—four Opus 4.x updates from February through May 2026—combined with its $30B Series G funding and Vercept acquisition, signals sustained development momentum against GPT-5 and Gemini 3. Traders weigh historical iteration patterns and competitive pressure when assessing whether a new Opus arrives before year-end or slips into 2027, with upcoming earnings calls and developer conferences likely to provide fresh signals on internal roadmaps.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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