xAI's aggressive rollout of Grok 4.5 and new features like Voice Think Fast 2.0 and Build Mode in late July 2026 has increased load on the web platform, driving trader focus on reliability amid a pattern of short outages earlier in the year. Official status pages report Grok (Web) fully operational with no active incidents as of early August, yet user reports on forums highlight prolonged unavailability not always reflected officially, reflecting infrastructure strain from large-scale training clusters. Competitive pressure from other frontier models and xAI's emphasis on rapid iteration create incentives for uptime, though historical incidents suggest scaling risks persist for web access. Traders monitor upcoming announcements or traffic spikes that could tip near-term outage probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/08/31
8月31日
42%
10月31日
54%
12月31日
72%
$31 Vol.
8月31日
$31 Vol.
42%
10月31日
$0 Vol.
54%
12月31日
$0 Vol.
72%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".xAI's aggressive rollout of Grok 4.5 and new features like Voice Think Fast 2.0 and Build Mode in late July 2026 has increased load on the web platform, driving trader focus on reliability amid a pattern of short outages earlier in the year. Official status pages report Grok (Web) fully operational with no active incidents as of early August, yet user reports on forums highlight prolonged unavailability not always reflected officially, reflecting infrastructure strain from large-scale training clusters. Competitive pressure from other frontier models and xAI's emphasis on rapid iteration create incentives for uptime, though historical incidents suggest scaling risks persist for web access. Traders monitor upcoming announcements or traffic spikes that could tip near-term outage probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
音量
$31終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".xAI's aggressive rollout of Grok 4.5 and new features like Voice Think Fast 2.0 and Build Mode in late July 2026 has increased load on the web platform, driving trader focus on reliability amid a pattern of short outages earlier in the year. Official status pages report Grok (Web) fully operational with no active incidents as of early August, yet user reports on forums highlight prolonged unavailability not always reflected officially, reflecting infrastructure strain from large-scale training clusters. Competitive pressure from other frontier models and xAI's emphasis on rapid iteration create incentives for uptime, though historical incidents suggest scaling risks persist for web access. Traders monitor upcoming announcements or traffic spikes that could tip near-term outage probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
音量
$31終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's aggressive rollout of Grok 4.5 and new features like Voice Think Fast 2.0 and Build Mode in late July 2026 has increased load on the web platform, driving trader focus on reliability amid a pattern of short outages earlier in the year. Official status pages report Grok (Web) fully operational with no active incidents as of early August, yet user reports on forums highlight prolonged unavailability not always reflected officially, reflecting infrastructure strain from large-scale training clusters. Competitive pressure from other frontier models and xAI's emphasis on rapid iteration create incentives for uptime, though historical incidents suggest scaling risks persist for web access. Traders monitor upcoming announcements or traffic spikes that could tip near-term outage probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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