Recent releases of Anthropic's Claude 5 series and OpenAI's GPT-5 variants, including thinking and max-effort modes, have created a tight race for top LiveBench Mathematics performance through August. These models demonstrate superior chain-of-thought reasoning and handling of complex problem sets on the contamination-free benchmark, which refreshes regularly to maintain integrity. Trader sentiment reflects the narrow gap between the two leaders, with Chinese labs like DeepSeek showing competitive math capabilities but trailing on LiveBench specifically. Key upcoming catalysts include any final model updates or benchmark refreshes before resolution, underscoring how small gains in frontier LLM capabilities can shift aggregated market odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日OpenAI 45%
Anthropic 38%
DeepSeek 22%
Xiaomi 22%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
OpenAI
46%
Anthropic
46%
DeepSeek
22%
Xiaomi
22%
19%
Moonshot
18%
Meta
16%
SpaceXAI
15%
Alibaba
14%
Baidu
14%
Z.ai
12%
ByteDance
12%
Nvidia
7%
Thinky
9%
Mistral
3%
Tencent
3%
Amazon
3%
Meituan
1%
StepFun
1%
Microsoft
1%
MiniMax
1%
OpenAI 45%
Anthropic 38%
DeepSeek 22%
Xiaomi 22%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
OpenAI
$128 Vol.
46%
Anthropic
$106 Vol.
46%
DeepSeek
$67 Vol.
22%
Xiaomi
$67 Vol.
22%
$67 Vol.
19%
Moonshot
$67 Vol.
18%
Meta
$67 Vol.
16%
SpaceXAI
$67 Vol.
15%
Alibaba
$67 Vol.
14%
Baidu
$67 Vol.
14%
Z.ai
$67 Vol.
12%
ByteDance
$89 Vol.
12%
Nvidia
$138 Vol.
7%
Thinky
$138 Vol.
9%
Mistral
$75 Vol.
3%
Tencent
$75 Vol.
3%
Amazon
$81 Vol.
3%
Meituan
$83 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$85 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$92 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$92 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Recent releases of Anthropic's Claude 5 series and OpenAI's GPT-5 variants, including thinking and max-effort modes, have created a tight race for top LiveBench Mathematics performance through August. These models demonstrate superior chain-of-thought reasoning and handling of complex problem sets on the contamination-free benchmark, which refreshes regularly to maintain integrity. Trader sentiment reflects the narrow gap between the two leaders, with Chinese labs like DeepSeek showing competitive math capabilities but trailing on LiveBench specifically. Key upcoming catalysts include any final model updates or benchmark refreshes before resolution, underscoring how small gains in frontier LLM capabilities can shift aggregated market odds.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
マーケット開始日： Jul 29, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
音量
$1,785終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Recent releases of Anthropic's Claude 5 series and OpenAI's GPT-5 variants, including thinking and max-effort modes, have created a tight race for top LiveBench Mathematics performance through August. These models demonstrate superior chain-of-thought reasoning and handling of complex problem sets on the contamination-free benchmark, which refreshes regularly to maintain integrity. Trader sentiment reflects the narrow gap between the two leaders, with Chinese labs like DeepSeek showing competitive math capabilities but trailing on LiveBench specifically. Key upcoming catalysts include any final model updates or benchmark refreshes before resolution, underscoring how small gains in frontier LLM capabilities can shift aggregated market odds.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
音量
$1,785終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 6:27 PM ETRecent releases of Anthropic's Claude 5 series and OpenAI's GPT-5 variants, including thinking and max-effort modes, have created a tight race for top LiveBench Mathematics performance through August. These models demonstrate superior chain-of-thought reasoning and handling of complex problem sets on the contamination-free benchmark, which refreshes regularly to maintain integrity. Trader sentiment reflects the narrow gap between the two leaders, with Chinese labs like DeepSeek showing competitive math capabilities but trailing on LiveBench specifically. Key upcoming catalysts include any final model updates or benchmark refreshes before resolution, underscoring how small gains in frontier LLM capabilities can shift aggregated market odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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