Persistent AI training demand sustains H100 utilization across hyperscalers and neoclouds, yet expanding supply of newer Blackwell GPUs and aggressive pricing by specialized providers have compressed on-demand rates into the $2.00–$3.50 per hour band. Recent indices show neo-cloud H100 contracts stabilizing near $2.77–$3.32 per hour after earlier 2026 surges, with spot and short-term availability adding downward pressure ahead of August. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (35%) to sub-$2.25 outcomes, reflecting expectations that competitive marketplace dynamics and gradual capacity additions will outweigh any late-summer demand spikes before month-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$2.75〜$3.00 24%
<$2.25 23%
$2.50-$2.75 20%
$3.00~$3.25 19%
<$2.25
23%
$2.25-$2.50
18%
$2.50-$2.75
20%
$2.75〜$3.00
24%
$3.00~$3.25
19%
$3.25以上
9%
$2.75〜$3.00 24%
<$2.25 23%
$2.50-$2.75 20%
$3.00~$3.25 19%
<$2.25
23%
$2.25-$2.50
18%
$2.50-$2.75
20%
$2.75〜$3.00
24%
$3.00~$3.25
19%
$3.25以上
9%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 30, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent AI training demand sustains H100 utilization across hyperscalers and neoclouds, yet expanding supply of newer Blackwell GPUs and aggressive pricing by specialized providers have compressed on-demand rates into the $2.00–$3.50 per hour band. Recent indices show neo-cloud H100 contracts stabilizing near $2.77–$3.32 per hour after earlier 2026 surges, with spot and short-term availability adding downward pressure ahead of August. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (35%) to sub-$2.25 outcomes, reflecting expectations that competitive marketplace dynamics and gradual capacity additions will outweigh any late-summer demand spikes before month-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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