DeepSeek’s commanding 92.8% implied probability reflects its sustained lead in weekly OpenRouter token volume, driven by the V4 Flash series’ combination of high throughput, 1M+ context windows, and pricing often 10–100x lower than U.S. frontier models. These attributes align with the platform’s heavy developer focus on coding and agentic workloads, where DeepSeek variants have topped recent leaderboards and captured the largest single-lab share amid broader Chinese open-weight gains. Traders see limited near-term disruption because competing labs trail in both volume and cost efficiency. A sudden surge from Tencent’s Hy series, a major OpenAI GPT release, or capacity constraints at DeepSeek could still narrow the gap before week-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日DeepSeek 94.2%
テンセント 6.9%
Nvidia 4.7%
Qwen 1%

DeepSeek
94%

テンセント
7%

Nvidia
5%

Qwen
1%

Z.ai
1%

Anthropic
1%

MiniMax
1%

Meta
1%

Xiaomi
1%

1%

xAI
9%

OpenAI
-
DeepSeek 94.2%
テンセント 6.9%
Nvidia 4.7%
Qwen 1%

DeepSeek
94%

テンセント
7%

Nvidia
5%

Qwen
1%

Z.ai
1%

Anthropic
1%

MiniMax
1%

Meta
1%

Xiaomi
1%

1%

xAI
9%

OpenAI
-
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
DeepSeek’s commanding 92.8% implied probability reflects its sustained lead in weekly OpenRouter token volume, driven by the V4 Flash series’ combination of high throughput, 1M+ context windows, and pricing often 10–100x lower than U.S. frontier models. These attributes align with the platform’s heavy developer focus on coding and agentic workloads, where DeepSeek variants have topped recent leaderboards and captured the largest single-lab share amid broader Chinese open-weight gains. Traders see limited near-term disruption because competing labs trail in both volume and cost efficiency. A sudden surge from Tencent’s Hy series, a major OpenAI GPT release, or capacity constraints at DeepSeek could still narrow the gap before week-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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