The New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary on September 8 features a tightening contest between U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas and challenger Karishma Manzur, with Pappas holding leads of 13 to 42 points in recent surveys from UNH and Saint Anselm College. Manzur has gained ground through grassroots organizing and appeals to progressive voters on issues such as campaign finance and foreign policy, while Pappas maintains advantages in fundraising, establishment endorsements, and support among moderates and older voters. A September 4 debate highlighted ideological differences, and the narrow poll gap plus multiple minor candidates contribute to trader emphasis on uncertain or non-Pappas outcomes alongside moderate victory margins for the frontrunner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日パパス 30～35％ 28%
パパス 10〜15％ 21%
パパス 15〜20％ 20%
パパス 20〜25％ 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
パパス 40％以上
5%
パパス 35〜40％
4%
パパス 30～35％
28%
パパス 25～30％
24%
パパス 20〜25％
20%
パパス 15〜20％
20%
パパス 10〜15％
21%
パパス 5～10％
12%
パパス 0～5％
14%
マンズール 0～5％
2%
マンジュール 5％以上
<1%
パパス 30～35％ 28%
パパス 10〜15％ 21%
パパス 15〜20％ 20%
パパス 20〜25％ 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
パパス 40％以上
$1,261 Vol.
5%
パパス 35〜40％
$78 Vol.
4%
パパス 30～35％
$34 Vol.
28%
パパス 25～30％
$163 Vol.
24%
パパス 20〜25％
$285 Vol.
20%
パパス 15〜20％
$253 Vol.
20%
パパス 10〜15％
$300 Vol.
21%
パパス 5～10％
$128 Vol.
12%
パパス 0～5％
$285 Vol.
14%
マンズール 0～5％
$195 Vol.
2%
マンジュール 5％以上
$165 Vol.
<1%
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.The New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary on September 8 features a tightening contest between U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas and challenger Karishma Manzur, with Pappas holding leads of 13 to 42 points in recent surveys from UNH and Saint Anselm College. Manzur has gained ground through grassroots organizing and appeals to progressive voters on issues such as campaign finance and foreign policy, while Pappas maintains advantages in fundraising, establishment endorsements, and support among moderates and older voters. A September 4 debate highlighted ideological differences, and the narrow poll gap plus multiple minor candidates contribute to trader emphasis on uncertain or non-Pappas outcomes alongside moderate victory margins for the frontrunner.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
音量
$3,148終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.The New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary on September 8 features a tightening contest between U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas and challenger Karishma Manzur, with Pappas holding leads of 13 to 42 points in recent surveys from UNH and Saint Anselm College. Manzur has gained ground through grassroots organizing and appeals to progressive voters on issues such as campaign finance and foreign policy, while Pappas maintains advantages in fundraising, establishment endorsements, and support among moderates and older voters. A September 4 debate highlighted ideological differences, and the narrow poll gap plus multiple minor candidates contribute to trader emphasis on uncertain or non-Pappas outcomes alongside moderate victory margins for the frontrunner.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
音量
$3,148終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary on September 8 features a tightening contest between U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas and challenger Karishma Manzur, with Pappas holding leads of 13 to 42 points in recent surveys from UNH and Saint Anselm College. Manzur has gained ground through grassroots organizing and appeals to progressive voters on issues such as campaign finance and foreign policy, while Pappas maintains advantages in fundraising, establishment endorsements, and support among moderates and older voters. A September 4 debate highlighted ideological differences, and the narrow poll gap plus multiple minor candidates contribute to trader emphasis on uncertain or non-Pappas outcomes alongside moderate victory margins for the frontrunner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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