Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against limited opposition. Mississippi's 4th congressional district, covering the Gulf Coast region including Gulfport and Biloxi, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Ezell previously won reelection with over 73 percent in 2022, while Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III emerged from a low-profile primary. These structural advantages and the absence of recent competitive developments sustain trader consensus around a Republican general election victory on November 3. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,590 Vol.
$39,590 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
96%
民主党
3%
$39,590 Vol.
$39,590 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$24,610 Vol.
96%
民主党
$14,980 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against limited opposition. Mississippi's 4th congressional district, covering the Gulf Coast region including Gulfport and Biloxi, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Ezell previously won reelection with over 73 percent in 2022, while Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III emerged from a low-profile primary. These structural advantages and the absence of recent competitive developments sustain trader consensus around a Republican general election victory on November 3. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$39,590終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against limited opposition. Mississippi's 4th congressional district, covering the Gulf Coast region including Gulfport and Biloxi, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Ezell previously won reelection with over 73 percent in 2022, while Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III emerged from a low-profile primary. These structural advantages and the absence of recent competitive developments sustain trader consensus around a Republican general election victory on November 3. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,590終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 84 percent of the vote against limited opposition. Mississippi's 4th congressional district, covering the Gulf Coast region including Gulfport and Biloxi, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Ezell previously won reelection with over 73 percent in 2022, while Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III emerged from a low-profile primary. These structural advantages and the absence of recent competitive developments sustain trader consensus around a Republican general election victory on November 3. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue, or national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問