Current meteorological forecasts and observational data from agencies monitoring Zhengzhou indicate radiative cooling under clear skies will drive the daily minimum to 17°C, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Model consensus supports this threshold amid typical early-September patterns of moderate humidity and light northeasterly winds, with historical September lows averaging near 20°C but recent stable high-pressure conditions favoring the lower reading. Traders' capital-backed consensus reflects confidence in these inputs, though resolution could shift if official measurements record a deviation due to urban heat effects, revised station data, or unforecasted cloud cover altering overnight temperatures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日の鄭州の最低気温は?
17℃ 99.4%
15℃以下 <1%
16℃ <1%
18°C <1%
$2,542 Vol.
$2,542 Vol.
15℃以下
1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
17℃ 99.4%
15℃以下 <1%
16℃ <1%
18°C <1%
$2,542 Vol.
$2,542 Vol.
15℃以下
1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts and observational data from agencies monitoring Zhengzhou indicate radiative cooling under clear skies will drive the daily minimum to 17°C, aligning with the market's 99.5% implied probability for that outcome. Model consensus supports this threshold amid typical early-September patterns of moderate humidity and light northeasterly winds, with historical September lows averaging near 20°C but recent stable high-pressure conditions favoring the lower reading. Traders' capital-backed consensus reflects confidence in these inputs, though resolution could shift if official measurements record a deviation due to urban heat effects, revised station data, or unforecasted cloud cover altering overnight temperatures.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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