Latest forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF project a high of 31–33°C in Zhengzhou on September 6 under mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable warm air mass, supporting the 69% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher. This exceeds the early-September climatological average high near 27°C, with minimal cloud cover expected to maximize daytime heating before a cooler front arrives later in the week. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, though minor shifts in timing or humidity could nudge the exact peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weight the consensus guidance heavily given the short time to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の鄭州の最高気温は？
9月6日の鄭州の最高気温は？
32℃以上 67%
31℃ 20%
29℃ 17%
30℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
1%
29℃
17%
30℃
5%
31℃
20%
32℃以上
67%
32℃以上 67%
31℃ 20%
29℃ 17%
30℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
22℃以下
$150 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$53 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$0 Vol.
1%
29℃
$0 Vol.
17%
30℃
$109 Vol.
5%
31℃
$101 Vol.
20%
32℃以上
$123 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF project a high of 31–33°C in Zhengzhou on September 6 under mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable warm air mass, supporting the 69% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher. This exceeds the early-September climatological average high near 27°C, with minimal cloud cover expected to maximize daytime heating before a cooler front arrives later in the week. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, though minor shifts in timing or humidity could nudge the exact peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weight the consensus guidance heavily given the short time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$686終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF project a high of 31–33°C in Zhengzhou on September 6 under mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable warm air mass, supporting the 69% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher. This exceeds the early-September climatological average high near 27°C, with minimal cloud cover expected to maximize daytime heating before a cooler front arrives later in the week. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, though minor shifts in timing or humidity could nudge the exact peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weight the consensus guidance heavily given the short time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$686終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETLatest forecast models from sources including the GFS and ECMWF project a high of 31–33°C in Zhengzhou on September 6 under mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and a stable warm air mass, supporting the 69% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher. This exceeds the early-September climatological average high near 27°C, with minimal cloud cover expected to maximize daytime heating before a cooler front arrives later in the week. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and ensemble runs show limited spread around these values, though minor shifts in timing or humidity could nudge the exact peak by 1°C. Traders appear to weight the consensus guidance heavily given the short time to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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