Recent model consensus and observational trends position 24–25°C as the most likely overnight minimum for Shanghai on September 19, with light rain or persistent cloud cover and northeast winds limiting radiative cooling under high humidity. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on lows of 23–25°C amid stable subtropical conditions and no significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event. This aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 24°C without strong synoptic forcing. Traders have priced in this narrow range as the dominant outcome, reflecting limited downside risk from revised guidance and the proximity to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日の上海の最低気温は？
9月19日の上海の最低気温は？
25℃ 70%
24℃ 22%
23℃ 5%
26℃ <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
19℃以下
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
5%
24℃
22%
25℃
70%
26℃
1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C以上
<1%
25℃ 70%
24℃ 22%
23℃ 5%
26℃ <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
19℃以下
$57 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$41 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$281 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$508 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$737 Vol.
5%
24℃
$1,705 Vol.
22%
25℃
$1,716 Vol.
70%
26℃
$378 Vol.
1%
27℃
$465 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$89 Vol.
<1%
29°C以上
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational trends position 24–25°C as the most likely overnight minimum for Shanghai on September 19, with light rain or persistent cloud cover and northeast winds limiting radiative cooling under high humidity. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on lows of 23–25°C amid stable subtropical conditions and no significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event. This aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 24°C without strong synoptic forcing. Traders have priced in this narrow range as the dominant outcome, reflecting limited downside risk from revised guidance and the proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$6,018終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational trends position 24–25°C as the most likely overnight minimum for Shanghai on September 19, with light rain or persistent cloud cover and northeast winds limiting radiative cooling under high humidity. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on lows of 23–25°C amid stable subtropical conditions and no significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event. This aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 24°C without strong synoptic forcing. Traders have priced in this narrow range as the dominant outcome, reflecting limited downside risk from revised guidance and the proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,018終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model consensus and observational trends position 24–25°C as the most likely overnight minimum for Shanghai on September 19, with light rain or persistent cloud cover and northeast winds limiting radiative cooling under high humidity. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on lows of 23–25°C amid stable subtropical conditions and no significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event. This aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 24°C without strong synoptic forcing. Traders have priced in this narrow range as the dominant outcome, reflecting limited downside risk from revised guidance and the proximity to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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