**The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of fine, dry conditions under a northeast monsoon flow sets the market’s tight focus on a 31–32°C maximum for September 18.** Persistent easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5 early on, combined with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, favor strong daytime heating that typically peaks near or slightly above the upper end of the 27–32°C guidance range. Recent model consensus and climatological September highs around 30–31°C support the near-even split between the 31°C (37%) and 32°C (36.5%) contracts, while the modest 14.5% on 30°C and 11% on 33°C reflect residual uncertainty over exact peak timing, urban heat effects, or minor forecast adjustments before resolution. Traders are effectively pricing the probability that the day’s observed maximum at the Observatory will fall in the 31–32°C band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日の香港の最高気温は？
9月18日の香港の最高気温は？
32°C 38%
31℃ 37%
30℃ 15%
33°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
1%
27℃
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30℃
15%
31℃
37%
32°C
38%
33°C
11%
34℃
2%
35℃以上
<1%
32°C 38%
31℃ 37%
30℃ 15%
33°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
25°C以下
$739 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$259 Vol.
1%
27℃
$263 Vol.
1%
28°C
$275 Vol.
1%
29°C
$178 Vol.
3%
30℃
$196 Vol.
15%
31℃
$431 Vol.
37%
32°C
$2,460 Vol.
38%
33°C
$417 Vol.
11%
34℃
$367 Vol.
2%
35℃以上
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of fine, dry conditions under a northeast monsoon flow sets the market’s tight focus on a 31–32°C maximum for September 18.** Persistent easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5 early on, combined with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, favor strong daytime heating that typically peaks near or slightly above the upper end of the 27–32°C guidance range. Recent model consensus and climatological September highs around 30–31°C support the near-even split between the 31°C (37%) and 32°C (36.5%) contracts, while the modest 14.5% on 30°C and 11% on 33°C reflect residual uncertainty over exact peak timing, urban heat effects, or minor forecast adjustments before resolution. Traders are effectively pricing the probability that the day’s observed maximum at the Observatory will fall in the 31–32°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$5,972終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of fine, dry conditions under a northeast monsoon flow sets the market’s tight focus on a 31–32°C maximum for September 18.** Persistent easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5 early on, combined with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, favor strong daytime heating that typically peaks near or slightly above the upper end of the 27–32°C guidance range. Recent model consensus and climatological September highs around 30–31°C support the near-even split between the 31°C (37%) and 32°C (36.5%) contracts, while the modest 14.5% on 30°C and 11% on 33°C reflect residual uncertainty over exact peak timing, urban heat effects, or minor forecast adjustments before resolution. Traders are effectively pricing the probability that the day’s observed maximum at the Observatory will fall in the 31–32°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,972終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**The Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of fine, dry conditions under a northeast monsoon flow sets the market’s tight focus on a 31–32°C maximum for September 18.** Persistent easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5 early on, combined with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, favor strong daytime heating that typically peaks near or slightly above the upper end of the 27–32°C guidance range. Recent model consensus and climatological September highs around 30–31°C support the near-even split between the 31°C (37%) and 32°C (36.5%) contracts, while the modest 14.5% on 30°C and 11% on 33°C reflect residual uncertainty over exact peak timing, urban heat effects, or minor forecast adjustments before resolution. Traders are effectively pricing the probability that the day’s observed maximum at the Observatory will fall in the 31–32°C band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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