Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 11–13 °C, driven by high-elevation radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from the waning rainy season in the Valley of Mexico. This positions the 14 °C outcome as the market favorite at 47.5 % implied probability, while elevated odds on 5 °C or below (28 %) reflect residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized cold pooling. No strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky intensification is currently projected, keeping extremes less likely than the central range. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs and next-day observational data will provide the key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のメキシコシティの最低気温は？
9月18日のメキシコシティの最低気温は？
5°C以下 54%
14℃ 52%
15°C以上 52%
13℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
5°C以下
54%
6°C
39%
7℃
39%
8℃
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11℃
39%
12°C
22%
13℃
24%
14℃
48%
15°C以上
52%
5°C以下 54%
14℃ 52%
15°C以上 52%
13℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
5°C以下
$0 Vol.
54%
6°C
$0 Vol.
39%
7℃
$0 Vol.
39%
8℃
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11℃
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13℃
$3 Vol.
24%
14℃
$70 Vol.
48%
15°C以上
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 11–13 °C, driven by high-elevation radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from the waning rainy season in the Valley of Mexico. This positions the 14 °C outcome as the market favorite at 47.5 % implied probability, while elevated odds on 5 °C or below (28 %) reflect residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized cold pooling. No strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky intensification is currently projected, keeping extremes less likely than the central range. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs and next-day observational data will provide the key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
音量
$72終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 11–13 °C, driven by high-elevation radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from the waning rainy season in the Valley of Mexico. This positions the 14 °C outcome as the market favorite at 47.5 % implied probability, while elevated odds on 5 °C or below (28 %) reflect residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized cold pooling. No strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky intensification is currently projected, keeping extremes less likely than the central range. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs and next-day observational data will provide the key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$72終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle near 11–13 °C, driven by high-elevation radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from the waning rainy season in the Valley of Mexico. This positions the 14 °C outcome as the market favorite at 47.5 % implied probability, while elevated odds on 5 °C or below (28 %) reflect residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized cold pooling. No strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky intensification is currently projected, keeping extremes less likely than the central range. Updated Servicio Meteorológico Nacional runs and next-day observational data will provide the key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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