Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models align closely on a daytime high of 19°C in Amsterdam, driven by moderate westerly winds, scattered showers, and typical mid-September Atlantic airflow that prevents significant warming or cooling. This matches the historical average high of 19.2°C for the date and reflects the consensus from sources like GFS data and regional observations, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 19°C. Minor deviations remain possible if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly or if station-specific readings vary by 1°C due to local microclimates or timing of peak temperatures, though model agreement makes larger shifts unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
9月16日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
19°C 100.0%
13℃以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15℃ <1%
$47,778 Vol.
$47,778 Vol.
2026/09/16
13℃以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
<1%
17℃
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
100%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃以上
<1%
19°C 100.0%
13℃以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15℃ <1%
$47,778 Vol.
$47,778 Vol.
2026/09/16
13℃以下
$441 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$547 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$334 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$958 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$4,541 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$9,664 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$12,008 Vol.
100%
20℃
$11,980 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5,330 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$1,064 Vol.
<1%
23℃以上
$912 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models align closely on a daytime high of 19°C in Amsterdam, driven by moderate westerly winds, scattered showers, and typical mid-September Atlantic airflow that prevents significant warming or cooling. This matches the historical average high of 19.2°C for the date and reflects the consensus from sources like GFS data and regional observations, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 19°C. Minor deviations remain possible if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly or if station-specific readings vary by 1°C due to local microclimates or timing of peak temperatures, though model agreement makes larger shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$47,778終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models align closely on a daytime high of 19°C in Amsterdam, driven by moderate westerly winds, scattered showers, and typical mid-September Atlantic airflow that prevents significant warming or cooling. This matches the historical average high of 19.2°C for the date and reflects the consensus from sources like GFS data and regional observations, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 19°C. Minor deviations remain possible if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly or if station-specific readings vary by 1°C due to local microclimates or timing of peak temperatures, though model agreement makes larger shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$47,778終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple meteorological models align closely on a daytime high of 19°C in Amsterdam, driven by moderate westerly winds, scattered showers, and typical mid-September Atlantic airflow that prevents significant warming or cooling. This matches the historical average high of 19.2°C for the date and reflects the consensus from sources like GFS data and regional observations, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 19°C. Minor deviations remain possible if convective activity intensifies unexpectedly or if station-specific readings vary by 1°C due to local microclimates or timing of peak temperatures, though model agreement makes larger shifts unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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