**Real-time observational data from Madrid weather stations, including those referenced by agencies like AEMET, have confirmed a daily maximum of 28°C on September 16, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for this outcome.** Forecasts from multiple numerical weather prediction models showed afternoon highs reaching this threshold under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, consistent with the day's observed conditions and slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.4°C. Minor model spread existed earlier but converged on 27–28°C as the day progressed, with no significant convective activity or measurement discrepancies reported. Resolution depends on official station maxima; while unlikely given current consensus, late verification adjustments, microclimate variations across sites, or post-processing corrections could theoretically shift the recorded value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のマドリードの最高気温は？
9月16日のマドリードの最高気温は？
28°C 100.0%
26℃以下 <1%
27℃ <1%
29℃ <1%
$68,848 Vol.
$68,848 Vol.
2026/09/16
26℃以下
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28°C
はい
29℃
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33℃
いいえ
34℃
いいえ
35℃
いいえ
36℃以上
いいえ
28°C 100.0%
26℃以下 <1%
27℃ <1%
29℃ <1%
$68,848 Vol.
$68,848 Vol.
2026/09/16
26℃以下
$7,561 Vol.
いいえ
27℃
$9,451 Vol.
いいえ
28°C
$15,438 Vol.
はい
29℃
$14,802 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$12,844 Vol.
いいえ
31℃
$4,521 Vol.
いいえ
32℃
$1,748 Vol.
いいえ
33℃
$1,719 Vol.
いいえ
34℃
$279 Vol.
いいえ
35℃
$373 Vol.
いいえ
36℃以上
$112 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Real-time observational data from Madrid weather stations, including those referenced by agencies like AEMET, have confirmed a daily maximum of 28°C on September 16, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for this outcome.** Forecasts from multiple numerical weather prediction models showed afternoon highs reaching this threshold under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, consistent with the day's observed conditions and slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.4°C. Minor model spread existed earlier but converged on 27–28°C as the day progressed, with no significant convective activity or measurement discrepancies reported. Resolution depends on official station maxima; while unlikely given current consensus, late verification adjustments, microclimate variations across sites, or post-processing corrections could theoretically shift the recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$68,848終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Real-time observational data from Madrid weather stations, including those referenced by agencies like AEMET, have confirmed a daily maximum of 28°C on September 16, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for this outcome.** Forecasts from multiple numerical weather prediction models showed afternoon highs reaching this threshold under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, consistent with the day's observed conditions and slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.4°C. Minor model spread existed earlier but converged on 27–28°C as the day progressed, with no significant convective activity or measurement discrepancies reported. Resolution depends on official station maxima; while unlikely given current consensus, late verification adjustments, microclimate variations across sites, or post-processing corrections could theoretically shift the recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$68,848終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Real-time observational data from Madrid weather stations, including those referenced by agencies like AEMET, have confirmed a daily maximum of 28°C on September 16, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for this outcome.** Forecasts from multiple numerical weather prediction models showed afternoon highs reaching this threshold under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds, consistent with the day's observed conditions and slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.4°C. Minor model spread existed earlier but converged on 27–28°C as the day progressed, with no significant convective activity or measurement discrepancies reported. Resolution depends on official station maxima; while unlikely given current consensus, late verification adjustments, microclimate variations across sites, or post-processing corrections could theoretically shift the recorded value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問