Recent forecasts for Manila on September 20 indicate a highest temperature most likely in the 29–32°C range, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon season keeping daytime maxima in check through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like NOAA and local agencies shows variability tied to cloud cover extent and timing of convective showers, which can suppress peaks by several degrees compared to clearer conditions. Historical September averages near 30–32°C provide context, but short-term atmospheric instability creates genuine uncertainty that explains the market's even distribution across 29–37°C outcomes. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the resolution criteria for this daily maximum reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のマニラの最高気温は?
29℃ 40%
32°C 40%
33℃ 40%
34°C 40%
28°C以下
1%
29℃
40%
30℃
21%
31℃
21%
32°C
40%
33℃
40%
34°C
40%
35℃
40%
36℃
40%
37℃
40%
38℃以上
1%
29℃ 40%
32°C 40%
33℃ 40%
34°C 40%
28°C以下
1%
29℃
40%
30℃
21%
31℃
21%
32°C
40%
33℃
40%
34°C
40%
35℃
40%
36℃
40%
37℃
40%
38℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Manila on September 20 indicate a highest temperature most likely in the 29–32°C range, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon season keeping daytime maxima in check through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like NOAA and local agencies shows variability tied to cloud cover extent and timing of convective showers, which can suppress peaks by several degrees compared to clearer conditions. Historical September averages near 30–32°C provide context, but short-term atmospheric instability creates genuine uncertainty that explains the market's even distribution across 29–37°C outcomes. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the resolution criteria for this daily maximum reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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