**Trader sentiment for the Dallas high temperature on September 17, 2026, centers on 98–99°F as the most probable outcome (60.5% implied probability), followed by 96–97°F (27.5%), reflecting strong consensus around upper-90s readings with modest downside risk.** National Weather Service and multiple model runs issued the prior evening forecast a mostly sunny, hot day with a high near 100°F under light southeast winds, high dew points in the upper 60s, and heat indices reaching 106°F. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and minimal mixing support strong daytime heating consistent with late-summer conditions in north Texas, where September averages are lower but heat waves can push peaks into the upper 90s or low 100s. The market’s emphasis on 98–99°F rather than 100°F+ likely incorporates slight model cooling or station-specific timing of the daily maximum, common in high-resolution verification against official observations at DFW or Love Field. No incoming front, increased cloud cover, or precipitation is expected to suppress temperatures, keeping the distribution tightly clustered in the 96–101°F range and rendering sub-94°F or 102°F+ outcomes highly improbable based on current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のダラスの最高気温は？
9月17日のダラスの最高気温は？
98〜99°F 62%
96〜97°F 27%
100～101°F 12%
102〜103°F 2%
新規
$14,581 Vol.
新規
$14,581 Vol.
2026/09/17
89°F以下
<1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92〜93°F
<1%
94～95°F
2%
96〜97°F
27%
98〜99°F
62%
100～101°F
12%
102〜103°F
2%
104〜105°F
<1%
106〜107°F
<1%
108°F以上
<1%
98〜99°F 62%
96〜97°F 27%
100～101°F 12%
102〜103°F 2%
新規
$14,581 Vol.
新規
$14,581 Vol.
2026/09/17
89°F以下
$121 Vol.
<1%
90〜91°F
$121 Vol.
<1%
92〜93°F
$80 Vol.
<1%
94～95°F
$1,379 Vol.
2%
96〜97°F
$6,318 Vol.
27%
98〜99°F
$2,902 Vol.
62%
100～101°F
$2,929 Vol.
12%
102〜103°F
$409 Vol.
2%
104〜105°F
$80 Vol.
<1%
106〜107°F
$121 Vol.
<1%
108°F以上
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the Dallas high temperature on September 17, 2026, centers on 98–99°F as the most probable outcome (60.5% implied probability), followed by 96–97°F (27.5%), reflecting strong consensus around upper-90s readings with modest downside risk.**
National Weather Service and multiple model runs issued the prior evening forecast a mostly sunny, hot day with a high near 100°F under light southeast winds, high dew points in the upper 60s, and heat indices reaching 106°F. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and minimal mixing support strong daytime heating consistent with late-summer conditions in north Texas, where September averages are lower but heat waves can push peaks into the upper 90s or low 100s.
The market’s emphasis on 98–99°F rather than 100°F+ likely incorporates slight model cooling or station-specific timing of the daily maximum, common in high-resolution verification against official observations at DFW or Love Field. No incoming front, increased cloud cover, or precipitation is expected to suppress temperatures, keeping the distribution tightly clustered in the 96–101°F range and rendering sub-94°F or 102°F+ outcomes highly improbable based on current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
音量
$14,581終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the Dallas high temperature on September 17, 2026, centers on 98–99°F as the most probable outcome (60.5% implied probability), followed by 96–97°F (27.5%), reflecting strong consensus around upper-90s readings with modest downside risk.**
National Weather Service and multiple model runs issued the prior evening forecast a mostly sunny, hot day with a high near 100°F under light southeast winds, high dew points in the upper 60s, and heat indices reaching 106°F. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and minimal mixing support strong daytime heating consistent with late-summer conditions in north Texas, where September averages are lower but heat waves can push peaks into the upper 90s or low 100s.
The market’s emphasis on 98–99°F rather than 100°F+ likely incorporates slight model cooling or station-specific timing of the daily maximum, common in high-resolution verification against official observations at DFW or Love Field. No incoming front, increased cloud cover, or precipitation is expected to suppress temperatures, keeping the distribution tightly clustered in the 96–101°F range and rendering sub-94°F or 102°F+ outcomes highly improbable based on current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$14,581終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET**Trader sentiment for the Dallas high temperature on September 17, 2026, centers on 98–99°F as the most probable outcome (60.5% implied probability), followed by 96–97°F (27.5%), reflecting strong consensus around upper-90s readings with modest downside risk.** National Weather Service and multiple model runs issued the prior evening forecast a mostly sunny, hot day with a high near 100°F under light southeast winds, high dew points in the upper 60s, and heat indices reaching 106°F. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and minimal mixing support strong daytime heating consistent with late-summer conditions in north Texas, where September averages are lower but heat waves can push peaks into the upper 90s or low 100s. The market’s emphasis on 98–99°F rather than 100°F+ likely incorporates slight model cooling or station-specific timing of the daily maximum, common in high-resolution verification against official observations at DFW or Love Field. No incoming front, increased cloud cover, or precipitation is expected to suppress temperatures, keeping the distribution tightly clustered in the 96–101°F range and rendering sub-94°F or 102°F+ outcomes highly improbable based on current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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