Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a narrow spread for Amsterdam's maximum temperature on September 20, centering near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds off the North Sea. These moderate maritime air masses and scattered showers limit daytime heating while preventing sharp drops, keeping probabilities clustered across the 17–24°C range. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing and frontal passage could shift the peak by 1–2°C, as seen in the latest model runs. KNMI and Met Office guidance align with this consensus, though updated 00Z and 12Z cycles may refine wind patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
9月20日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
19°C 55%
20℃ 27%
18℃ 19%
17°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
14℃以下
<1%
15℃
5%
16°C
7%
17°C
11%
18℃
20%
19°C
55%
20℃
27%
21℃
10%
22°C
6%
23℃
3%
24℃以上
<1%
19°C 55%
20℃ 27%
18℃ 19%
17°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
14℃以下
$0 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$0 Vol.
5%
16°C
$0 Vol.
7%
17°C
$0 Vol.
11%
18℃
$6 Vol.
20%
19°C
$36 Vol.
55%
20℃
$0 Vol.
27%
21℃
$0 Vol.
10%
22°C
$0 Vol.
6%
23℃
$0 Vol.
3%
24℃以上
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a narrow spread for Amsterdam's maximum temperature on September 20, centering near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds off the North Sea. These moderate maritime air masses and scattered showers limit daytime heating while preventing sharp drops, keeping probabilities clustered across the 17–24°C range. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing and frontal passage could shift the peak by 1–2°C, as seen in the latest model runs. KNMI and Met Office guidance align with this consensus, though updated 00Z and 12Z cycles may refine wind patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$42終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a narrow spread for Amsterdam's maximum temperature on September 20, centering near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds off the North Sea. These moderate maritime air masses and scattered showers limit daytime heating while preventing sharp drops, keeping probabilities clustered across the 17–24°C range. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing and frontal passage could shift the peak by 1–2°C, as seen in the latest model runs. KNMI and Met Office guidance align with this consensus, though updated 00Z and 12Z cycles may refine wind patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$42終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show a narrow spread for Amsterdam's maximum temperature on September 20, centering near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds off the North Sea. These moderate maritime air masses and scattered showers limit daytime heating while preventing sharp drops, keeping probabilities clustered across the 17–24°C range. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing and frontal passage could shift the peak by 1–2°C, as seen in the latest model runs. KNMI and Met Office guidance align with this consensus, though updated 00Z and 12Z cycles may refine wind patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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