Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C in Beijing on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and possible brief showers. These conditions moderate peak heating compared to clear-sky norms for mid-September, while residual warmth from prior days keeps the upper end of the range plausible. Model consensus and observed midday readings around 26–27°C support the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (62%) and 28°C (26.5%), with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C+ reflecting limited intensification potential before any evening cooling. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station data will refine the exact peak as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日の北京の最高気温は？
9月18日の北京の最高気温は？
29℃ 53%
28°C 41%
30℃ 6%
31℃ <1%
$35,893 Vol.
$35,893 Vol.
2026/09/18
23℃以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
41%
29℃
53%
30℃
6%
31℃
1%
32°C
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
29℃ 53%
28°C 41%
30℃ 6%
31℃ <1%
$35,893 Vol.
$35,893 Vol.
2026/09/18
23℃以下
$1,579 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$2,381 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$4,701 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$2,921 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$7,745 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,643 Vol.
41%
29℃
$3,985 Vol.
53%
30℃
$4,212 Vol.
6%
31℃
$1,733 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,044 Vol.
<1%
33℃以上
$950 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C in Beijing on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and possible brief showers. These conditions moderate peak heating compared to clear-sky norms for mid-September, while residual warmth from prior days keeps the upper end of the range plausible. Model consensus and observed midday readings around 26–27°C support the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (62%) and 28°C (26.5%), with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C+ reflecting limited intensification potential before any evening cooling. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station data will refine the exact peak as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$35,893終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C in Beijing on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and possible brief showers. These conditions moderate peak heating compared to clear-sky norms for mid-September, while residual warmth from prior days keeps the upper end of the range plausible. Model consensus and observed midday readings around 26–27°C support the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (62%) and 28°C (26.5%), with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C+ reflecting limited intensification potential before any evening cooling. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station data will refine the exact peak as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$35,893終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C in Beijing on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and possible brief showers. These conditions moderate peak heating compared to clear-sky norms for mid-September, while residual warmth from prior days keeps the upper end of the range plausible. Model consensus and observed midday readings around 26–27°C support the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (62%) and 28°C (26.5%), with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C+ reflecting limited intensification potential before any evening cooling. Updated short-range guidance and real-time station data will refine the exact peak as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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