Current forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a peak temperature of 29–32°C in Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with light northwest-to-northeast winds. This range reflects typical mid-September transition conditions, where daytime solar heating under variable cloud cover drives the daily maximum, tempered by moderate humidity and minimal precipitation. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with clearer scenarios favoring the upper end near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties against historical September averages around 28–30°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while awaiting the next China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF updates before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日の武漢の最高気温は？
9月20日の武漢の最高気温は？
33°C 34%
30℃ 32%
29℃ 23%
31℃ 22%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
3%
27℃
11%
28℃
16%
29℃
22%
30℃
32%
31℃
22%
32℃
19%
33°C
34%
34°C
2%
35℃以上
<1%
33°C 34%
30℃ 32%
29℃ 23%
31℃ 22%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
25°C以下
$11 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$0 Vol.
3%
27℃
$10 Vol.
11%
28℃
$0 Vol.
16%
29℃
$4 Vol.
22%
30℃
$30 Vol.
32%
31℃
$5 Vol.
22%
32℃
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$0 Vol.
34%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35℃以上
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a peak temperature of 29–32°C in Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with light northwest-to-northeast winds. This range reflects typical mid-September transition conditions, where daytime solar heating under variable cloud cover drives the daily maximum, tempered by moderate humidity and minimal precipitation. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with clearer scenarios favoring the upper end near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties against historical September averages around 28–30°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while awaiting the next China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF updates before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$61終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a peak temperature of 29–32°C in Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with light northwest-to-northeast winds. This range reflects typical mid-September transition conditions, where daytime solar heating under variable cloud cover drives the daily maximum, tempered by moderate humidity and minimal precipitation. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with clearer scenarios favoring the upper end near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties against historical September averages around 28–30°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while awaiting the next China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF updates before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$61終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a peak temperature of 29–32°C in Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with light northwest-to-northeast winds. This range reflects typical mid-September transition conditions, where daytime solar heating under variable cloud cover drives the daily maximum, tempered by moderate humidity and minimal precipitation. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with clearer scenarios favoring the upper end near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties against historical September averages around 28–30°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while awaiting the next China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF updates before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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