Recent forecasts from multiple models for Wuhan on September 20 point to overnight lows near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds following a cool, rainy period earlier in the week that dropped temperatures into the upper teens. This warming trend stems from a shift to southerly flow and reduced cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures above the seasonal average of about 21°C. Trader odds cluster tightly around mid-20s thresholds because small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and timing of any residual frontal passage can easily swing the daily minimum by 1–2°C, creating balanced implied probabilities across the 19–25°C range without strong consensus on exact resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日の武漢の最低気温は?
18℃以下 100%
28℃以上 100%
21℃ 40%
22℃ 40%
18℃以下
100%
19℃
39%
20°C
39%
21℃
40%
22℃
40%
23°C
39%
24℃
39%
25℃
39%
26℃
39%
27℃
39%
28℃以上
100%
18℃以下 100%
28℃以上 100%
21℃ 40%
22℃ 40%
18℃以下
100%
19℃
39%
20°C
39%
21℃
40%
22℃
40%
23°C
39%
24℃
39%
25℃
39%
26℃
39%
27℃
39%
28℃以上
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models for Wuhan on September 20 point to overnight lows near 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds following a cool, rainy period earlier in the week that dropped temperatures into the upper teens. This warming trend stems from a shift to southerly flow and reduced cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures above the seasonal average of about 21°C. Trader odds cluster tightly around mid-20s thresholds because small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and timing of any residual frontal passage can easily swing the daily minimum by 1–2°C, creating balanced implied probabilities across the 19–25°C range without strong consensus on exact resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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