Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high in the low 80s for New York City on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer, humid air under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with limited shower chances. This setup aligns with climatological late-summer norms near 76°F while exceeding recent cooler days, positioning the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins as market leaders at 45% and 31.5% implied probability. Trader sentiment incorporates minor forecast spread around exact peak timing and urban heat effects, keeping lower or higher bins subdued pending final observational data from Central Park.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
9月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
80〜81°F 46%
82〜83°F 30%
78〜79°F 18%
84-85°F 9%
新規
$24,423 Vol.
新規
$24,423 Vol.
2026/09/17
71°F以下
<1%
72～73°F
<1%
74〜75°F
<1%
76～77°F
<1%
78〜79°F
18%
80〜81°F
46%
82〜83°F
30%
84-85°F
9%
86～87°F
2%
88〜89°F
<1%
90°F以上
<1%
80〜81°F 46%
82〜83°F 30%
78〜79°F 18%
84-85°F 9%
新規
$24,423 Vol.
新規
$24,423 Vol.
2026/09/17
71°F以下
$218 Vol.
<1%
72～73°F
$402 Vol.
<1%
74〜75°F
$468 Vol.
<1%
76～77°F
$717 Vol.
<1%
78〜79°F
$3,639 Vol.
18%
80〜81°F
$5,877 Vol.
46%
82〜83°F
$5,827 Vol.
30%
84-85°F
$5,490 Vol.
9%
86～87°F
$1,028 Vol.
2%
88〜89°F
$306 Vol.
<1%
90°F以上
$453 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high in the low 80s for New York City on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer, humid air under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with limited shower chances. This setup aligns with climatological late-summer norms near 76°F while exceeding recent cooler days, positioning the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins as market leaders at 45% and 31.5% implied probability. Trader sentiment incorporates minor forecast spread around exact peak timing and urban heat effects, keeping lower or higher bins subdued pending final observational data from Central Park.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
音量
$24,423終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high in the low 80s for New York City on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer, humid air under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with limited shower chances. This setup aligns with climatological late-summer norms near 76°F while exceeding recent cooler days, positioning the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins as market leaders at 45% and 31.5% implied probability. Trader sentiment incorporates minor forecast spread around exact peak timing and urban heat effects, keeping lower or higher bins subdued pending final observational data from Central Park.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$24,423終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high in the low 80s for New York City on September 17, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer, humid air under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with limited shower chances. This setup aligns with climatological late-summer norms near 76°F while exceeding recent cooler days, positioning the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins as market leaders at 45% and 31.5% implied probability. Trader sentiment incorporates minor forecast spread around exact peak timing and urban heat effects, keeping lower or higher bins subdued pending final observational data from Central Park.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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