Forecast models from NOAA and GFS consensus point to an overnight low of 69–71°F in New York City on September 17, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 80%, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market's leading 70–71°F (49%) and 72–73°F (38%) bins, reflecting trader assessment of Central Park and LaGuardia station data. The pattern deviates from the 1991–2020 September 17 average low of 61°F, as a warm air mass holds minimums several degrees above climatology. With resolution dependent on official daily minimum readings, any late-evening clearing could nudge temperatures slightly lower, though current guidance shows limited downside risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
9月17日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
72〜73°F 54%
74～75°F 50%
70～71°F 49%
64〜65°F 34%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
61°F以下
1%
62〜63°F
17%
64〜65°F
34%
66～67°F
6%
68～69°F
20%
70～71°F
39%
72〜73°F
54%
74～75°F
50%
76〜77°F
6%
78〜79°F
<1%
80°F以上
<1%
72〜73°F 54%
74～75°F 50%
70～71°F 49%
64〜65°F 34%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
61°F以下
$339 Vol.
1%
62〜63°F
$0 Vol.
17%
64〜65°F
$15 Vol.
34%
66～67°F
$87 Vol.
6%
68～69°F
$152 Vol.
20%
70～71°F
$464 Vol.
39%
72〜73°F
$832 Vol.
54%
74～75°F
$0 Vol.
50%
76〜77°F
$0 Vol.
6%
78〜79°F
$1,152 Vol.
<1%
80°F以上
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and GFS consensus point to an overnight low of 69–71°F in New York City on September 17, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 80%, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market's leading 70–71°F (49%) and 72–73°F (38%) bins, reflecting trader assessment of Central Park and LaGuardia station data. The pattern deviates from the 1991–2020 September 17 average low of 61°F, as a warm air mass holds minimums several degrees above climatology. With resolution dependent on official daily minimum readings, any late-evening clearing could nudge temperatures slightly lower, though current guidance shows limited downside risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
音量
$3,083終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and GFS consensus point to an overnight low of 69–71°F in New York City on September 17, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 80%, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market's leading 70–71°F (49%) and 72–73°F (38%) bins, reflecting trader assessment of Central Park and LaGuardia station data. The pattern deviates from the 1991–2020 September 17 average low of 61°F, as a warm air mass holds minimums several degrees above climatology. With resolution dependent on official daily minimum readings, any late-evening clearing could nudge temperatures slightly lower, though current guidance shows limited downside risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,083終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ETForecast models from NOAA and GFS consensus point to an overnight low of 69–71°F in New York City on September 17, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 80%, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market's leading 70–71°F (49%) and 72–73°F (38%) bins, reflecting trader assessment of Central Park and LaGuardia station data. The pattern deviates from the 1991–2020 September 17 average low of 61°F, as a warm air mass holds minimums several degrees above climatology. With resolution dependent on official daily minimum readings, any late-evening clearing could nudge temperatures slightly lower, though current guidance shows limited downside risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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