**Trader consensus heavily favors 24°C as the day's high in Tokyo, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency forecast of a maximum 24°C under mostly cloudy skies following morning rain.** Persistent cloud cover and precipitation have reduced incoming solar radiation, moderating afternoon temperatures in line with typical mid-September conditions near the seasonal average of 26–27°C. Ensemble model guidance and real-time observations through midday show peaks clustered around 23–24°C, with limited potential for brief clearing to push readings to 25°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, as ongoing northerly flow and high humidity further suppress warming while resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded by JMA stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日の東京の最高気温は？
9月17日の東京の最高気温は？
24°C 70%
25℃ 18%
23℃ 6%
26℃ 5%
新規
$27,950 Vol.
新規
$27,950 Vol.
2026/09/17
19℃以下
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
6%
24°C
62%
25℃
23%
26℃
5%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
24°C 70%
25℃ 18%
23℃ 6%
26℃ 5%
新規
$27,950 Vol.
新規
$27,950 Vol.
2026/09/17
19℃以下
$1,314 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$883 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$1,562 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$4,239 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$6,266 Vol.
6%
24°C
$3,499 Vol.
62%
25℃
$3,934 Vol.
23%
26℃
$1,762 Vol.
5%
27℃
$1,336 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$1,418 Vol.
<1%
29℃以上
$1,738 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 24°C as the day's high in Tokyo, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency forecast of a maximum 24°C under mostly cloudy skies following morning rain.** Persistent cloud cover and precipitation have reduced incoming solar radiation, moderating afternoon temperatures in line with typical mid-September conditions near the seasonal average of 26–27°C. Ensemble model guidance and real-time observations through midday show peaks clustered around 23–24°C, with limited potential for brief clearing to push readings to 25°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, as ongoing northerly flow and high humidity further suppress warming while resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded by JMA stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$27,950終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 24°C as the day's high in Tokyo, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency forecast of a maximum 24°C under mostly cloudy skies following morning rain.** Persistent cloud cover and precipitation have reduced incoming solar radiation, moderating afternoon temperatures in line with typical mid-September conditions near the seasonal average of 26–27°C. Ensemble model guidance and real-time observations through midday show peaks clustered around 23–24°C, with limited potential for brief clearing to push readings to 25°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, as ongoing northerly flow and high humidity further suppress warming while resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded by JMA stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$27,950終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors 24°C as the day's high in Tokyo, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency forecast of a maximum 24°C under mostly cloudy skies following morning rain.** Persistent cloud cover and precipitation have reduced incoming solar radiation, moderating afternoon temperatures in line with typical mid-September conditions near the seasonal average of 26–27°C. Ensemble model guidance and real-time observations through midday show peaks clustered around 23–24°C, with limited potential for brief clearing to push readings to 25°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, as ongoing northerly flow and high humidity further suppress warming while resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded by JMA stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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