Trader consensus currently favors a 70-71°F low on September 18, reflecting National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage, with clear to partly cloudy skies promoting moderate radiational cooling overnight. Recent ensemble runs indicate minimum temperatures settling in the upper 60s to low 70s under dew points near 60°F and light north winds of 5-10 mph, consistent with historical late-September climatology for Central Park where average lows hover near 61°F but recent warmth has elevated baselines. Key upcoming updates from the 00Z and 12Z model cycles, plus any revisions to boundary-layer mixing, will refine resolution odds for the 68-69°F or 72-73°F bins before the calendar day concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
9月18日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
70〜71°F 48%
72〜73°F 26%
74～75°F 19%
66～67°F 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
61°F以下
2%
62～63°F
2%
64〜65°F
4%
66～67°F
18%
68～69°F
17%
70〜71°F
48%
72〜73°F
26%
74～75°F
19%
76～77°F
4%
78〜79°F
1%
華氏80度以上
1%
70〜71°F 48%
72〜73°F 26%
74～75°F 19%
66～67°F 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
61°F以下
$0 Vol.
2%
62～63°F
$0 Vol.
2%
64〜65°F
$0 Vol.
4%
66～67°F
$0 Vol.
18%
68～69°F
$270 Vol.
17%
70〜71°F
$530 Vol.
48%
72〜73°F
$469 Vol.
26%
74～75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76～77°F
$0 Vol.
4%
78〜79°F
$311 Vol.
1%
華氏80度以上
$311 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus currently favors a 70-71°F low on September 18, reflecting National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage, with clear to partly cloudy skies promoting moderate radiational cooling overnight. Recent ensemble runs indicate minimum temperatures settling in the upper 60s to low 70s under dew points near 60°F and light north winds of 5-10 mph, consistent with historical late-September climatology for Central Park where average lows hover near 61°F but recent warmth has elevated baselines. Key upcoming updates from the 00Z and 12Z model cycles, plus any revisions to boundary-layer mixing, will refine resolution odds for the 68-69°F or 72-73°F bins before the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
音量
$1,890終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus currently favors a 70-71°F low on September 18, reflecting National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage, with clear to partly cloudy skies promoting moderate radiational cooling overnight. Recent ensemble runs indicate minimum temperatures settling in the upper 60s to low 70s under dew points near 60°F and light north winds of 5-10 mph, consistent with historical late-September climatology for Central Park where average lows hover near 61°F but recent warmth has elevated baselines. Key upcoming updates from the 00Z and 12Z model cycles, plus any revisions to boundary-layer mixing, will refine resolution odds for the 68-69°F or 72-73°F bins before the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,890終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETTrader consensus currently favors a 70-71°F low on September 18, reflecting National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage, with clear to partly cloudy skies promoting moderate radiational cooling overnight. Recent ensemble runs indicate minimum temperatures settling in the upper 60s to low 70s under dew points near 60°F and light north winds of 5-10 mph, consistent with historical late-September climatology for Central Park where average lows hover near 61°F but recent warmth has elevated baselines. Key upcoming updates from the 00Z and 12Z model cycles, plus any revisions to boundary-layer mixing, will refine resolution odds for the 68-69°F or 72-73°F bins before the calendar day concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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