Current forecast models from Turkish meteorological services and international agencies indicate mostly stable late-summer conditions for Istanbul on September 20, with northeast winds and partly cloudy skies supporting overnight lows typically in the 16–20°C range. Recent showers earlier in the week have given way to clearer patterns, keeping temperatures near or slightly below seasonal September averages without strong cold-air advection or heat buildup. Model consensus points to limited overnight cooling due to moderate humidity and light winds, though small variations in cloud cover or wind shifts could push the daily minimum toward either tail of the distribution. This scientific uncertainty, combined with typical short-range forecast variability near resolution, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between the cooler and warmer extremes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
9月20日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
14℃以下 95%
24℃以上 90%
15℃ 40%
16℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
14℃以下
95%
15℃
40%
16℃
40%
17°C
40%
18℃
30%
19℃
30%
20°C
40%
21℃
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24℃以上
90%
14℃以下 95%
24℃以上 90%
15℃ 40%
16℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
14℃以下
$0 Vol.
95%
15℃
$0 Vol.
40%
16℃
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18℃
$0 Vol.
30%
19℃
$0 Vol.
30%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21℃
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24℃以上
$0 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Turkish meteorological services and international agencies indicate mostly stable late-summer conditions for Istanbul on September 20, with northeast winds and partly cloudy skies supporting overnight lows typically in the 16–20°C range. Recent showers earlier in the week have given way to clearer patterns, keeping temperatures near or slightly below seasonal September averages without strong cold-air advection or heat buildup. Model consensus points to limited overnight cooling due to moderate humidity and light winds, though small variations in cloud cover or wind shifts could push the daily minimum toward either tail of the distribution. This scientific uncertainty, combined with typical short-range forecast variability near resolution, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between the cooler and warmer extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Turkish meteorological services and international agencies indicate mostly stable late-summer conditions for Istanbul on September 20, with northeast winds and partly cloudy skies supporting overnight lows typically in the 16–20°C range. Recent showers earlier in the week have given way to clearer patterns, keeping temperatures near or slightly below seasonal September averages without strong cold-air advection or heat buildup. Model consensus points to limited overnight cooling due to moderate humidity and light winds, though small variations in cloud cover or wind shifts could push the daily minimum toward either tail of the distribution. This scientific uncertainty, combined with typical short-range forecast variability near resolution, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between the cooler and warmer extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Turkish meteorological services and international agencies indicate mostly stable late-summer conditions for Istanbul on September 20, with northeast winds and partly cloudy skies supporting overnight lows typically in the 16–20°C range. Recent showers earlier in the week have given way to clearer patterns, keeping temperatures near or slightly below seasonal September averages without strong cold-air advection or heat buildup. Model consensus points to limited overnight cooling due to moderate humidity and light winds, though small variations in cloud cover or wind shifts could push the daily minimum toward either tail of the distribution. This scientific uncertainty, combined with typical short-range forecast variability near resolution, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds between the cooler and warmer extremes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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