Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 20 indicate a daily maximum near 33–36°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms possible, consistent with climatological averages of 31.6°C and recent observations of 34–35°C highs amid elevated humidity and light southerly flow. The tight market split between 36°C (49%) and 39°C+ (49.5%) reflects uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 2–4°C through reduced insolation, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger surface heating in this subtropical regime. Official guidance from regional agencies emphasizes model consensus on modest intensification potential limited by moisture and weak steering winds, with any upward revision hinging on revised runs showing delayed rainfall or stronger subsidence. Historical analogs from September heat events further highlight how small shifts in these variables determine whether thresholds near 36–38°C are reached.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日の広州の最高気温は？
9月20日の広州の最高気温は？
36°C 22%
33℃ 20%
34℃ 20%
38℃ 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
29℃以下
<1%
30℃
2%
31℃
3%
32°C
3%
33℃
20%
34℃
20%
35℃
14%
36°C
22%
37℃
13%
38℃
20%
39℃以上
<1%
36°C 22%
33℃ 20%
34℃ 20%
38℃ 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
29℃以下
$0 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$0 Vol.
2%
31℃
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33℃
$0 Vol.
20%
34℃
$0 Vol.
20%
35℃
$0 Vol.
14%
36°C
$0 Vol.
22%
37℃
$0 Vol.
13%
38℃
$0 Vol.
20%
39℃以上
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 20 indicate a daily maximum near 33–36°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms possible, consistent with climatological averages of 31.6°C and recent observations of 34–35°C highs amid elevated humidity and light southerly flow. The tight market split between 36°C (49%) and 39°C+ (49.5%) reflects uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 2–4°C through reduced insolation, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger surface heating in this subtropical regime. Official guidance from regional agencies emphasizes model consensus on modest intensification potential limited by moisture and weak steering winds, with any upward revision hinging on revised runs showing delayed rainfall or stronger subsidence. Historical analogs from September heat events further highlight how small shifts in these variables determine whether thresholds near 36–38°C are reached.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 20 indicate a daily maximum near 33–36°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms possible, consistent with climatological averages of 31.6°C and recent observations of 34–35°C highs amid elevated humidity and light southerly flow. The tight market split between 36°C (49%) and 39°C+ (49.5%) reflects uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 2–4°C through reduced insolation, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger surface heating in this subtropical regime. Official guidance from regional agencies emphasizes model consensus on modest intensification potential limited by moisture and weak steering winds, with any upward revision hinging on revised runs showing delayed rainfall or stronger subsidence. Historical analogs from September heat events further highlight how small shifts in these variables determine whether thresholds near 36–38°C are reached.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models for Guangzhou on September 20 indicate a daily maximum near 33–36°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms possible, consistent with climatological averages of 31.6°C and recent observations of 34–35°C highs amid elevated humidity and light southerly flow. The tight market split between 36°C (49%) and 39°C+ (49.5%) reflects uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 2–4°C through reduced insolation, versus clearer intervals that allow stronger surface heating in this subtropical regime. Official guidance from regional agencies emphasizes model consensus on modest intensification potential limited by moisture and weak steering winds, with any upward revision hinging on revised runs showing delayed rainfall or stronger subsidence. Historical analogs from September heat events further highlight how small shifts in these variables determine whether thresholds near 36–38°C are reached.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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