Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 100°F for Austin on September 20 under sunny conditions, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry air with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with above-average late-summer heat, where the climatological mean high is around 90°F. Trader consensus favoring 96-99°F outcomes reflects model ensemble spreads and uncertainty in afternoon mixing or subtle moisture increases that could cap temperatures 1-3°F lower than deterministic runs. Official updates from NWS Austin/San Antonio and refined model guidance expected in the next 24-48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のオースティンの最高気温は？
9月20日のオースティンの最高気温は？
96～97°F 32%
98～99°F 28%
94～95°F 19%
102～103°F 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
89°F以下
5%
90～91°F
8%
92～93°F
11%
94～95°F
19%
96～97°F
32%
98～99°F
28%
100～101°F
19%
102～103°F
19%
104-105°F
10%
106～107°F
6%
108°F以上
5%
96～97°F 32%
98～99°F 28%
94～95°F 19%
102～103°F 19%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
89°F以下
$0 Vol.
5%
90～91°F
$15 Vol.
8%
92～93°F
$0 Vol.
11%
94～95°F
$0 Vol.
19%
96～97°F
$21 Vol.
32%
98～99°F
$0 Vol.
28%
100～101°F
$0 Vol.
19%
102～103°F
$0 Vol.
19%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
10%
106～107°F
$0 Vol.
6%
108°F以上
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 100°F for Austin on September 20 under sunny conditions, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry air with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with above-average late-summer heat, where the climatological mean high is around 90°F. Trader consensus favoring 96-99°F outcomes reflects model ensemble spreads and uncertainty in afternoon mixing or subtle moisture increases that could cap temperatures 1-3°F lower than deterministic runs. Official updates from NWS Austin/San Antonio and refined model guidance expected in the next 24-48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
音量
$36終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 100°F for Austin on September 20 under sunny conditions, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry air with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with above-average late-summer heat, where the climatological mean high is around 90°F. Trader consensus favoring 96-99°F outcomes reflects model ensemble spreads and uncertainty in afternoon mixing or subtle moisture increases that could cap temperatures 1-3°F lower than deterministic runs. Official updates from NWS Austin/San Antonio and refined model guidance expected in the next 24-48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$36終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 100°F for Austin on September 20 under sunny conditions, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, dry air with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with above-average late-summer heat, where the climatological mean high is around 90°F. Trader consensus favoring 96-99°F outcomes reflects model ensemble spreads and uncertainty in afternoon mixing or subtle moisture increases that could cap temperatures 1-3°F lower than deterministic runs. Official updates from NWS Austin/San Antonio and refined model guidance expected in the next 24-48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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