Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and European models indicate Paris overnight lows near 19–20 °C on August 5, 2026, under continued high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions follow an early-August warm spell with daytime maxima well above the 25 °C seasonal norm, elevating residual heat in the urban boundary layer and suppressing typical nocturnal drops. Model consensus shows little change expected before resolution, though minor shifts in wind or moisture could nudge the minimum by 1 °C either way. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 19–20 °C range, consistent with the narrow forecast envelope and historical August minima averaging near 14–16 °C but currently running warmer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のパリの最低気温は？
8月5日のパリの最低気温は？
19°C 40%
20°C 37%
18°C 10%
21°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
40%
20°C
37%
21°C
9%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 40%
20°C 37%
18°C 10%
21°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
16°C or below
$257 Vol.
1%
17°C
$115 Vol.
3%
18°C
$159 Vol.
10%
19°C
$1,949 Vol.
40%
20°C
$666 Vol.
37%
21°C
$135 Vol.
9%
22°C
$104 Vol.
4%
23°C
$281 Vol.
1%
24°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$126 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and European models indicate Paris overnight lows near 19–20 °C on August 5, 2026, under continued high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions follow an early-August warm spell with daytime maxima well above the 25 °C seasonal norm, elevating residual heat in the urban boundary layer and suppressing typical nocturnal drops. Model consensus shows little change expected before resolution, though minor shifts in wind or moisture could nudge the minimum by 1 °C either way. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 19–20 °C range, consistent with the narrow forecast envelope and historical August minima averaging near 14–16 °C but currently running warmer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$4,111終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and European models indicate Paris overnight lows near 19–20 °C on August 5, 2026, under continued high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions follow an early-August warm spell with daytime maxima well above the 25 °C seasonal norm, elevating residual heat in the urban boundary layer and suppressing typical nocturnal drops. Model consensus shows little change expected before resolution, though minor shifts in wind or moisture could nudge the minimum by 1 °C either way. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 19–20 °C range, consistent with the narrow forecast envelope and historical August minima averaging near 14–16 °C but currently running warmer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,111終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and European models indicate Paris overnight lows near 19–20 °C on August 5, 2026, under continued high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions follow an early-August warm spell with daytime maxima well above the 25 °C seasonal norm, elevating residual heat in the urban boundary layer and suppressing typical nocturnal drops. Model consensus shows little change expected before resolution, though minor shifts in wind or moisture could nudge the minimum by 1 °C either way. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 19–20 °C range, consistent with the narrow forecast envelope and historical August minima averaging near 14–16 °C but currently running warmer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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