**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and aligned global models point to a minimum temperature near 26–28°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 5, reflecting typical midsummer high-pressure dominance with light winds and limited overnight radiative cooling under humid, partly cloudy skies.** This pattern keeps surface temperatures elevated, consistent with August climatology where overnight lows commonly stabilize in the mid-20s°C absent typhoon influences or cold frontal passages. Urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor further moderate cooling. Recent short-range model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting the market’s concentration on 27°C (41.5%) and 28°C (29.5%) outcomes, while the 26°C share (13%) accounts for slight forecast uncertainty in humidity or cloud cover. No major weather systems are expected to alter the baseline through the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
27°C 42%
28°C 30%
26°C 20%
24°C 7.0%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
14%
27°C
42%
28°C
30%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 30%
26°C 20%
24°C 7.0%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
14%
27°C
42%
28°C
30%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and aligned global models point to a minimum temperature near 26–28°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 5, reflecting typical midsummer high-pressure dominance with light winds and limited overnight radiative cooling under humid, partly cloudy skies.** This pattern keeps surface temperatures elevated, consistent with August climatology where overnight lows commonly stabilize in the mid-20s°C absent typhoon influences or cold frontal passages. Urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor further moderate cooling. Recent short-range model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, supporting the market’s concentration on 27°C (41.5%) and 28°C (29.5%) outcomes, while the 26°C share (13%) accounts for slight forecast uncertainty in humidity or cloud cover. No major weather systems are expected to alter the baseline through the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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