Recent forecasts from PAGASA highlight the southwest monsoon (Habagat) enhanced by nearby tropical systems, which is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through August 5. These conditions limit incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima near the 28–30°C range rather than the higher values typical of drier periods. With the market’s top outcomes clustered tightly at 28–30°C, traders are weighing subtle differences in rain timing, cloud thickness, and steering flow that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Official outlooks project a 30°C high on August 5, yet persistent monsoon moisture introduces uncertainty that favors the slightly cooler 28–29°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のマニラの最高気温は?
29℃ 37%
28℃ 30%
30°C 22%
27℃ 8%
22°C以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24℃
2%
25℃
1%
26°C
2%
27℃
8%
28℃
30%
29℃
37%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32℃以上
2%
29℃ 37%
28℃ 30%
30°C 22%
27℃ 8%
22°C以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24℃
2%
25℃
1%
26°C
2%
27℃
8%
28℃
30%
29℃
37%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from PAGASA highlight the southwest monsoon (Habagat) enhanced by nearby tropical systems, which is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through August 5. These conditions limit incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima near the 28–30°C range rather than the higher values typical of drier periods. With the market’s top outcomes clustered tightly at 28–30°C, traders are weighing subtle differences in rain timing, cloud thickness, and steering flow that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Official outlooks project a 30°C high on August 5, yet persistent monsoon moisture introduces uncertainty that favors the slightly cooler 28–29°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問