Trader consensus clusters tightly around 16–18°C for Cape Town’s August 5 maximum, aligning with long-term climatology showing average winter highs near 17°C under the influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent mid-latitude westerlies. Short-range model runs exhibit modest spread in the precise peak due to uncertainty in the timing and strength of any approaching cold front versus transient ridging, which can produce brief warming. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and ensemble guidance continue to favor near-normal values without strong signals for anomalous heat or deeper chill, keeping probabilities for 19°C or higher below 15% while supporting the narrow 16–18°C band as the most likely range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
8月5日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
17℃ 33%
18°C 31%
16°C 20%
19℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
12℃以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
20%
17℃
33%
18°C
31%
19℃
15%
20°C
3%
21℃
2%
22°C以上
<1%
17℃ 33%
18°C 31%
16°C 20%
19℃ 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
12℃以下
$292 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$349 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$182 Vol.
2%
15°C
$65 Vol.
4%
16°C
$200 Vol.
20%
17℃
$181 Vol.
33%
18°C
$148 Vol.
31%
19℃
$241 Vol.
15%
20°C
$252 Vol.
3%
21℃
$168 Vol.
2%
22°C以上
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 16–18°C for Cape Town’s August 5 maximum, aligning with long-term climatology showing average winter highs near 17°C under the influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent mid-latitude westerlies. Short-range model runs exhibit modest spread in the precise peak due to uncertainty in the timing and strength of any approaching cold front versus transient ridging, which can produce brief warming. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and ensemble guidance continue to favor near-normal values without strong signals for anomalous heat or deeper chill, keeping probabilities for 19°C or higher below 15% while supporting the narrow 16–18°C band as the most likely range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
音量
$3,128終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 16–18°C for Cape Town’s August 5 maximum, aligning with long-term climatology showing average winter highs near 17°C under the influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent mid-latitude westerlies. Short-range model runs exhibit modest spread in the precise peak due to uncertainty in the timing and strength of any approaching cold front versus transient ridging, which can produce brief warming. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and ensemble guidance continue to favor near-normal values without strong signals for anomalous heat or deeper chill, keeping probabilities for 19°C or higher below 15% while supporting the narrow 16–18°C band as the most likely range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,128終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ETTrader consensus clusters tightly around 16–18°C for Cape Town’s August 5 maximum, aligning with long-term climatology showing average winter highs near 17°C under the influence of the cold Benguela Current and frequent mid-latitude westerlies. Short-range model runs exhibit modest spread in the precise peak due to uncertainty in the timing and strength of any approaching cold front versus transient ridging, which can produce brief warming. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and ensemble guidance continue to favor near-normal values without strong signals for anomalous heat or deeper chill, keeping probabilities for 19°C or higher below 15% while supporting the narrow 16–18°C band as the most likely range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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