Recent model guidance and observational trends position Beijing’s August 5 maximum near 35–37 °C, with 36 °C holding the highest market-implied probability at 36.5 %. Early-August climatology features peak seasonal heating under the East Asian monsoon, where weak steering flows, high humidity, and variable cloud cover can allow brief clearing to push daytime peaks several degrees above the 30–32 °C August average. Latest short-range runs show modest convective activity that may limit extreme readings yet still permit temperatures in the upper 30s if insolation remains strong; any shift in timing of showers or increased boundary-layer mixing could quickly alter the distribution. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and real-time surface observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の北京の最高気温は？
8月5日の北京の最高気温は？
36°C 38%
37°C 24%
35°C 24%
34°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
8%
35°C
24%
36°C
38%
37°C
24%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 38%
37°C 24%
35°C 24%
34°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
29°C or below
$298 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$852 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$451 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$609 Vol.
2%
33°C
$344 Vol.
4%
34°C
$374 Vol.
8%
35°C
$347 Vol.
24%
36°C
$700 Vol.
38%
37°C
$1,245 Vol.
24%
38°C
$226 Vol.
4%
39°C or higher
$82 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and observational trends position Beijing’s August 5 maximum near 35–37 °C, with 36 °C holding the highest market-implied probability at 36.5 %. Early-August climatology features peak seasonal heating under the East Asian monsoon, where weak steering flows, high humidity, and variable cloud cover can allow brief clearing to push daytime peaks several degrees above the 30–32 °C August average. Latest short-range runs show modest convective activity that may limit extreme readings yet still permit temperatures in the upper 30s if insolation remains strong; any shift in timing of showers or increased boundary-layer mixing could quickly alter the distribution. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and real-time surface observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$5,527終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and observational trends position Beijing’s August 5 maximum near 35–37 °C, with 36 °C holding the highest market-implied probability at 36.5 %. Early-August climatology features peak seasonal heating under the East Asian monsoon, where weak steering flows, high humidity, and variable cloud cover can allow brief clearing to push daytime peaks several degrees above the 30–32 °C August average. Latest short-range runs show modest convective activity that may limit extreme readings yet still permit temperatures in the upper 30s if insolation remains strong; any shift in timing of showers or increased boundary-layer mixing could quickly alter the distribution. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and real-time surface observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,527終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent model guidance and observational trends position Beijing’s August 5 maximum near 35–37 °C, with 36 °C holding the highest market-implied probability at 36.5 %. Early-August climatology features peak seasonal heating under the East Asian monsoon, where weak steering flows, high humidity, and variable cloud cover can allow brief clearing to push daytime peaks several degrees above the 30–32 °C August average. Latest short-range runs show modest convective activity that may limit extreme readings yet still permit temperatures in the upper 30s if insolation remains strong; any shift in timing of showers or increased boundary-layer mixing could quickly alter the distribution. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and real-time surface observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution probabilities before the market closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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