Official forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for Milan on September 5, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling overnight under high pressure. This aligns with the market's 99.6% implied probability for that exact threshold, reflecting traders' assessment of model consensus and historical analogs for early September conditions in the Po Valley. Minor variations in dew point or wind could shift the observed low by 1°C, but current atmospheric stability makes outcomes below 16°C or above 18°C highly improbable absent unexpected frontal passage or measurement discrepancies at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日のミラノの最低気温は？
9月5日のミラノの最低気温は？
17°C 99.6%
15℃以下 <1%
16℃ <1%
18℃ <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/05
15℃以下
1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
100%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C以上
<1%
17°C 99.6%
15℃以下 <1%
16℃ <1%
18℃ <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/05
15℃以下
$57 Vol.
1%
16℃
$85 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$586 Vol.
100%
18℃
$98 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$109 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$93 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$35 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$35 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$20 Vol.
<1%
25°C以上
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for Milan on September 5, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling overnight under high pressure. This aligns with the market's 99.6% implied probability for that exact threshold, reflecting traders' assessment of model consensus and historical analogs for early September conditions in the Po Valley. Minor variations in dew point or wind could shift the observed low by 1°C, but current atmospheric stability makes outcomes below 16°C or above 18°C highly improbable absent unexpected frontal passage or measurement discrepancies at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$1,264終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for Milan on September 5, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling overnight under high pressure. This aligns with the market's 99.6% implied probability for that exact threshold, reflecting traders' assessment of model consensus and historical analogs for early September conditions in the Po Valley. Minor variations in dew point or wind could shift the observed low by 1°C, but current atmospheric stability makes outcomes below 16°C or above 18°C highly improbable absent unexpected frontal passage or measurement discrepancies at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,264終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETOfficial forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for Milan on September 5, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling overnight under high pressure. This aligns with the market's 99.6% implied probability for that exact threshold, reflecting traders' assessment of model consensus and historical analogs for early September conditions in the Po Valley. Minor variations in dew point or wind could shift the observed low by 1°C, but current atmospheric stability makes outcomes below 16°C or above 18°C highly improbable absent unexpected frontal passage or measurement discrepancies at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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