Current forecasts from sources like GFS and European models indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 6 will likely fall in the 22–23°C range, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and moderate overnight radiational cooling amid daytime highs near 36°C. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities on 21°C or below (48%), 22°C (26.5%), and 23°C (25.5%), as traders weigh ensemble spread and potential revisions from agencies like AEMET. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, but the current anomalous warmth from late-summer patterns limits downside risk, with upcoming model runs offering the next key update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のマドリードの最低気温は？
9月6日のマドリードの最低気温は？
21℃以下 48%
31℃以上 47%
22℃ 27%
23℃ 24%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
21℃以下
48%
22℃
27%
23℃
24%
24℃
13%
25℃
15%
26°C
21%
27℃
15%
28℃
6%
29℃
6%
30℃
3%
31℃以上
47%
21℃以下 48%
31℃以上 47%
22℃ 27%
23℃ 24%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
21℃以下
$0 Vol.
48%
22℃
$0 Vol.
27%
23℃
$0 Vol.
24%
24℃
$0 Vol.
13%
25℃
$0 Vol.
15%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27℃
$0 Vol.
15%
28℃
$0 Vol.
6%
29℃
$0 Vol.
6%
30℃
$0 Vol.
3%
31℃以上
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like GFS and European models indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 6 will likely fall in the 22–23°C range, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and moderate overnight radiational cooling amid daytime highs near 36°C. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities on 21°C or below (48%), 22°C (26.5%), and 23°C (25.5%), as traders weigh ensemble spread and potential revisions from agencies like AEMET. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, but the current anomalous warmth from late-summer patterns limits downside risk, with upcoming model runs offering the next key update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like GFS and European models indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 6 will likely fall in the 22–23°C range, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and moderate overnight radiational cooling amid daytime highs near 36°C. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities on 21°C or below (48%), 22°C (26.5%), and 23°C (25.5%), as traders weigh ensemble spread and potential revisions from agencies like AEMET. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, but the current anomalous warmth from late-summer patterns limits downside risk, with upcoming model runs offering the next key update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from sources like GFS and European models indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 6 will likely fall in the 22–23°C range, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and moderate overnight radiational cooling amid daytime highs near 36°C. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities on 21°C or below (48%), 22°C (26.5%), and 23°C (25.5%), as traders weigh ensemble spread and potential revisions from agencies like AEMET. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, but the current anomalous warmth from late-summer patterns limits downside risk, with upcoming model runs offering the next key update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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