Current forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned services indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C in Guangzhou on August 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 85%, and widespread thunderstorm activity that limits overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment. Recent observations show dew points near 26–27°C and light winds, further suppressing temperature drops below the seasonal average low of approximately 25.4°C. These conditions position 27°C as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, with 25–26°C options reflecting residual uncertainty from potential model variations in precipitation timing, while extremes below 24°C remain improbable given the stable warm air mass and historical August minima rarely dipping that low without exceptional synoptic cooling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の広州の最低気温は？
8月23日の広州の最低気温は？
26°C 21%
25°C 19%
24°C 17%
22℃以下 <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
17%
25°C
19%
26°C
21%
27℃
54%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
26°C 21%
25°C 19%
24°C 17%
22℃以下 <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
22℃以下
$69 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$165 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$81 Vol.
17%
25°C
$18 Vol.
19%
26°C
$18 Vol.
21%
27℃
$84 Vol.
54%
28℃
$166 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$218 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$125 Vol.
<1%
32℃以上
$206 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned services indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C in Guangzhou on August 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 85%, and widespread thunderstorm activity that limits overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment. Recent observations show dew points near 26–27°C and light winds, further suppressing temperature drops below the seasonal average low of approximately 25.4°C. These conditions position 27°C as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, with 25–26°C options reflecting residual uncertainty from potential model variations in precipitation timing, while extremes below 24°C remain improbable given the stable warm air mass and historical August minima rarely dipping that low without exceptional synoptic cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$1,348終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned services indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C in Guangzhou on August 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 85%, and widespread thunderstorm activity that limits overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment. Recent observations show dew points near 26–27°C and light winds, further suppressing temperature drops below the seasonal average low of approximately 25.4°C. These conditions position 27°C as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, with 25–26°C options reflecting residual uncertainty from potential model variations in precipitation timing, while extremes below 24°C remain improbable given the stable warm air mass and historical August minima rarely dipping that low without exceptional synoptic cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,348終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned services indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C in Guangzhou on August 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 85%, and widespread thunderstorm activity that limits overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment. Recent observations show dew points near 26–27°C and light winds, further suppressing temperature drops below the seasonal average low of approximately 25.4°C. These conditions position 27°C as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, with 25–26°C options reflecting residual uncertainty from potential model variations in precipitation timing, while extremes below 24°C remain improbable given the stable warm air mass and historical August minima rarely dipping that low without exceptional synoptic cooling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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