Élodie Murphy-Gauthier of the Parti québécois leads trader pricing at 69.5% in the Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, ahead of CAQ candidate Guy Veillette at 19.5% and lower probabilities for other nominees. Recent riding projections from 338Canada and Qc125 place the PQ ahead or in a narrow contest with the CAQ after transposing 2022 results onto the updated map, reflecting provincial trends favoring the PQ in the Mauricie region. Murphy-Gauthier, a local family physician who launched her campaign in April 2026, has emphasized health-care access and social services, drawing on her decade of practice in Shawinigan. Veillette, a longtime regional journalist and former constituency staffer for the retiring CAQ incumbent, benefits from deep local roots but contends with the CAQ’s broader challenges. Nominations close September 17, leaving limited time for further shifts before voters decide.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エロディ・マーフィー＝ゴーティエ 70%
ギー・ヴェイエット 20%
シャルル・パカン <1%
ローラン・ベリール <1%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
エロディ・マーフィー＝ゴーティエ
70%
ギー・ヴェイエット
20%
シャルル・パカン
1%
ローラン・ベリール
<1%
エロディ・マーフィー＝ゴーティエ 70%
ギー・ヴェイエット 20%
シャルル・パカン <1%
ローラン・ベリール <1%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
エロディ・マーフィー＝ゴーティエ
$965 Vol.
70%
ギー・ヴェイエット
$937 Vol.
20%
シャルル・パカン
$1,083 Vol.
1%
ローラン・ベリール
$232 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Élodie Murphy-Gauthier of the Parti québécois leads trader pricing at 69.5% in the Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, ahead of CAQ candidate Guy Veillette at 19.5% and lower probabilities for other nominees. Recent riding projections from 338Canada and Qc125 place the PQ ahead or in a narrow contest with the CAQ after transposing 2022 results onto the updated map, reflecting provincial trends favoring the PQ in the Mauricie region. Murphy-Gauthier, a local family physician who launched her campaign in April 2026, has emphasized health-care access and social services, drawing on her decade of practice in Shawinigan. Veillette, a longtime regional journalist and former constituency staffer for the retiring CAQ incumbent, benefits from deep local roots but contends with the CAQ’s broader challenges. Nominations close September 17, leaving limited time for further shifts before voters decide.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
音量
$3,217終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Élodie Murphy-Gauthier of the Parti québécois leads trader pricing at 69.5% in the Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, ahead of CAQ candidate Guy Veillette at 19.5% and lower probabilities for other nominees. Recent riding projections from 338Canada and Qc125 place the PQ ahead or in a narrow contest with the CAQ after transposing 2022 results onto the updated map, reflecting provincial trends favoring the PQ in the Mauricie region. Murphy-Gauthier, a local family physician who launched her campaign in April 2026, has emphasized health-care access and social services, drawing on her decade of practice in Shawinigan. Veillette, a longtime regional journalist and former constituency staffer for the retiring CAQ incumbent, benefits from deep local roots but contends with the CAQ’s broader challenges. Nominations close September 17, leaving limited time for further shifts before voters decide.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
音量
$3,217終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ETÉlodie Murphy-Gauthier of the Parti québécois leads trader pricing at 69.5% in the Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, ahead of CAQ candidate Guy Veillette at 19.5% and lower probabilities for other nominees. Recent riding projections from 338Canada and Qc125 place the PQ ahead or in a narrow contest with the CAQ after transposing 2022 results onto the updated map, reflecting provincial trends favoring the PQ in the Mauricie region. Murphy-Gauthier, a local family physician who launched her campaign in April 2026, has emphasized health-care access and social services, drawing on her decade of practice in Shawinigan. Veillette, a longtime regional journalist and former constituency staffer for the retiring CAQ incumbent, benefits from deep local roots but contends with the CAQ’s broader challenges. Nominations close September 17, leaving limited time for further shifts before voters decide.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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