Israel and Lebanon signed a U.S.-brokered trilateral framework agreement on June 26, 2026, that designates two pilot zones—one south of the Litani River and a small area north—for phased Israeli redeployment once the Lebanese Armed Forces verify disarmament of Hezbollah and dismantle associated infrastructure. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz stated that further withdrawals beyond these limited zones remain conditions-based rather than time-bound, with Israel retaining its broader security zone until Hezbollah poses no threat. Hezbollah has rejected the deal, while the agreement creates a U.S.-facilitated Military Coordination Group to oversee implementation. No additional major redeployments have occurred since the signing, leaving trader assessments centered on progress toward verified disarmament in the pilot areas.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,191,775 Vol.
December 31
17%
$1,191,775 Vol.
December 31
17%
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Israel and Lebanon signed a U.S.-brokered trilateral framework agreement on June 26, 2026, that designates two pilot zones—one south of the Litani River and a small area north—for phased Israeli redeployment once the Lebanese Armed Forces verify disarmament of Hezbollah and dismantle associated infrastructure. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz stated that further withdrawals beyond these limited zones remain conditions-based rather than time-bound, with Israel retaining its broader security zone until Hezbollah poses no threat. Hezbollah has rejected the deal, while the agreement creates a U.S.-facilitated Military Coordination Group to oversee implementation. No additional major redeployments have occurred since the signing, leaving trader assessments centered on progress toward verified disarmament in the pilot areas.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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