US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon, launched after the June 26, 2026, trilateral framework agreement in Washington, remain the dominant factor shaping expectations for any high-level diplomatic meeting. That accord established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces control of pilot zones in southern Lebanon, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployments, with the US facilitating a Military Coordination Group. Subsequent technical and military rounds in Rome during July and early August advanced implementation roadmaps, border issues, and verification mechanisms, though sessions faced interruptions from cross-border incidents. The next round is scheduled for early September, keeping momentum tied to measurable progress on security arrangements and Lebanese sovereignty assertions amid Hezbollah opposition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$349,868 Vol.
2026/10/01
9月9日
3%
9月11日
5%
9月13日
9%
9月15日
37%
September 30
79%
$349,868 Vol.
9月9日
$14,168 Vol.
3%
9月11日
$5,528 Vol.
5%
9月13日
$8,255 Vol.
9%
9月15日
$61,686 Vol.
37%
September 30
$51,726 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon, launched after the June 26, 2026, trilateral framework agreement in Washington, remain the dominant factor shaping expectations for any high-level diplomatic meeting. That accord established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces control of pilot zones in southern Lebanon, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployments, with the US facilitating a Military Coordination Group. Subsequent technical and military rounds in Rome during July and early August advanced implementation roadmaps, border issues, and verification mechanisms, though sessions faced interruptions from cross-border incidents. The next round is scheduled for early September, keeping momentum tied to measurable progress on security arrangements and Lebanese sovereignty assertions amid Hezbollah opposition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
音量
$349,868終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon, launched after the June 26, 2026, trilateral framework agreement in Washington, remain the dominant factor shaping expectations for any high-level diplomatic meeting. That accord established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces control of pilot zones in southern Lebanon, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployments, with the US facilitating a Military Coordination Group. Subsequent technical and military rounds in Rome during July and early August advanced implementation roadmaps, border issues, and verification mechanisms, though sessions faced interruptions from cross-border incidents. The next round is scheduled for early September, keeping momentum tied to measurable progress on security arrangements and Lebanese sovereignty assertions amid Hezbollah opposition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$349,868終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon, launched after the June 26, 2026, trilateral framework agreement in Washington, remain the dominant factor shaping expectations for any high-level diplomatic meeting. That accord established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces control of pilot zones in southern Lebanon, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployments, with the US facilitating a Military Coordination Group. Subsequent technical and military rounds in Rome during July and early August advanced implementation roadmaps, border issues, and verification mechanisms, though sessions faced interruptions from cross-border incidents. The next round is scheduled for early September, keeping momentum tied to measurable progress on security arrangements and Lebanese sovereignty assertions amid Hezbollah opposition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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