Forecast models from sources including GFS and official agencies indicate a maximum of 32°C for Tel Aviv on September 5, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and clear to mostly sunny skies typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean. This aligns with seasonal climatology showing average daily highs near 31–32°C and minimal day-to-day variability, producing the market’s 97% implied probability for exactly 32°C. Official resolution will rely on verified observations from the Israel Meteorological Service rather than forecasts, leaving limited room for deviation unless localized cooling from coastal effects or minor model errors shifts the peak by a degree.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
32°C 98%
33℃ 3%
34°C <1%
29°C以下 <1%
$17,021 Vol.
$17,021 Vol.
29°C以下
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
98%
33℃
3%
34°C
<1%
35℃
<1%
36℃
<1%
37℃
<1%
38℃
<1%
39℃以上
<1%
32°C 98%
33℃ 3%
34°C <1%
29°C以下 <1%
$17,021 Vol.
$17,021 Vol.
29°C以下
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
98%
33℃
3%
34°C
<1%
35℃
<1%
36℃
<1%
37℃
<1%
38℃
<1%
39℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and official agencies indicate a maximum of 32°C for Tel Aviv on September 5, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and clear to mostly sunny skies typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean. This aligns with seasonal climatology showing average daily highs near 31–32°C and minimal day-to-day variability, producing the market’s 97% implied probability for exactly 32°C. Official resolution will rely on verified observations from the Israel Meteorological Service rather than forecasts, leaving limited room for deviation unless localized cooling from coastal effects or minor model errors shifts the peak by a degree.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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