Traders see the closely matched 28°C and 29°C outcomes as the most probable because August winter conditions in São Paulo typically produce daytime highs near 23–25°C, with recent model consensus and early observations pointing to a modest warming anomaly from clearer skies and lighter winds. Key differentiating factors include variable solar insolation under partial cloud cover, urban heat island effects elevating city-center readings, and steering patterns that can add or subtract 1–2°C through Atlantic moisture influx. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from INMET or equivalent stations, any late-day shift in cloudiness or wind could tip the result between the two leaders before markets close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
28°C 37%
29°C 35%
27°C 17%
30°C 10%
$19,806 Vol.
$19,806 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
17%
28°C
37%
29°C
35%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 37%
29°C 35%
27°C 17%
30°C 10%
$19,806 Vol.
$19,806 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
17%
28°C
37%
29°C
35%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see the closely matched 28°C and 29°C outcomes as the most probable because August winter conditions in São Paulo typically produce daytime highs near 23–25°C, with recent model consensus and early observations pointing to a modest warming anomaly from clearer skies and lighter winds. Key differentiating factors include variable solar insolation under partial cloud cover, urban heat island effects elevating city-center readings, and steering patterns that can add or subtract 1–2°C through Atlantic moisture influx. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from INMET or equivalent stations, any late-day shift in cloudiness or wind could tip the result between the two leaders before markets close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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