Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a likely daily maximum near 24–26°C for São Paulo on August 7, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Typical August climatology features highs averaging 23–25°C under subtropical high pressure, but recent observations show variability with maxima reaching 27°C on August 1 and similar values mid-week amid passing disturbances. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any approaching cold front, which could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing greater daytime heating; urban heat-island effects and model spread in boundary-layer moisture further contribute to the narrow probability distribution across 22–26°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely sharpen resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
8月7日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
22°C or below 19%
25°C 19%
24°C 17%
26°C 15%
新規
$10,592 Vol.
新規
$10,592 Vol.
2026/08/07
22°C or below
19%
23°C
11%
24°C
17%
25°C
19%
26°C
15%
27°C
11%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 19%
25°C 19%
24°C 17%
26°C 15%
新規
$10,592 Vol.
新規
$10,592 Vol.
2026/08/07
22°C or below
$2,181 Vol.
19%
23°C
$1,300 Vol.
11%
24°C
$1,535 Vol.
17%
25°C
$1,229 Vol.
19%
26°C
$1,915 Vol.
15%
27°C
$793 Vol.
11%
28°C
$698 Vol.
6%
29°C
$505 Vol.
2%
30°C
$358 Vol.
2%
31°C
$10 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$381 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a likely daily maximum near 24–26°C for São Paulo on August 7, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Typical August climatology features highs averaging 23–25°C under subtropical high pressure, but recent observations show variability with maxima reaching 27°C on August 1 and similar values mid-week amid passing disturbances. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any approaching cold front, which could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing greater daytime heating; urban heat-island effects and model spread in boundary-layer moisture further contribute to the narrow probability distribution across 22–26°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely sharpen resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$10,592終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a likely daily maximum near 24–26°C for São Paulo on August 7, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Typical August climatology features highs averaging 23–25°C under subtropical high pressure, but recent observations show variability with maxima reaching 27°C on August 1 and similar values mid-week amid passing disturbances. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any approaching cold front, which could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing greater daytime heating; urban heat-island effects and model spread in boundary-layer moisture further contribute to the narrow probability distribution across 22–26°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely sharpen resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,592終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a likely daily maximum near 24–26°C for São Paulo on August 7, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Typical August climatology features highs averaging 23–25°C under subtropical high pressure, but recent observations show variability with maxima reaching 27°C on August 1 and similar values mid-week amid passing disturbances. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any approaching cold front, which could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing greater daytime heating; urban heat-island effects and model spread in boundary-layer moisture further contribute to the narrow probability distribution across 22–26°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely sharpen resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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