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icon for 8月8日の香港の最低気温は？

8月8日の香港の最低気温は？

icon for 8月8日の香港の最低気温は？

8月8日の香港の最低気温は？

8月 6

8月 7

8月 8

8月 6

8月 7

8月 8

28℃ 24%

27°C 23%

26℃ 18%

30℃ 15%

Polymarket
新規

28℃ 24%

27°C 23%

26℃ 18%

30℃ 15%

Polymarket
新規

22°C以下

$27 Vol.

9%

23℃

$27 Vol.

2%

24°C

$24 Vol.

1%

25℃

$20 Vol.

11%

26℃

$0 Vol.

18%

27°C

$0 Vol.

23%

28℃

$0 Vol.

24%

29℃

$0 Vol.

13%

30℃

$632 Vol.

15%

31℃

$279 Vol.

1%

32°C以上

$27 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for August 2026 amid ongoing climate warming trends, with typical daily minima near 26–28°C under humid subtropical conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon. Cloud cover and showers expected around August 8 could suppress overnight radiative cooling and lower the minimum, supporting elevated trader weighting on 22°C or below as the leading outcome, while clearer skies or reduced rainfall would favor mid-range resolutions near 27–28°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for extremes above 32°C or below 23°C given seasonal baselines and current steering patterns, with the next official guidance updates likely to refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,036
終了日
2026/08/08
マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for August 2026 amid ongoing climate warming trends, with typical daily minima near 26–28°C under humid subtropical conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon. Cloud cover and showers expected around August 8 could suppress overnight radiative cooling and lower the minimum, supporting elevated trader weighting on 22°C or below as the leading outcome, while clearer skies or reduced rainfall would favor mid-range resolutions near 27–28°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for extremes above 32°C or below 23°C given seasonal baselines and current steering patterns, with the next official guidance updates likely to refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,036
終了日
2026/08/08
マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

関連

icon for 8月7日の香港の最低気温は27℃になりますか？

8月7日の香港の最低気温は27℃になりますか？

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はい
icon for 8月6日の香港の最低気温は26℃になりますか？

8月6日の香港の最低気温は26℃になりますか？

99%
はい
icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8?

32%

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「8月8日の香港の最低気温は？」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「28℃」で24%、次いで「27°C」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、24¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に24%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「8月8日の香港の最低気温は？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 6, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「8月8日の香港の最低気温は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「8月8日の香港の最低気温は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「28℃」で24%であり、市場がこの結果に24%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「27°C」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「8月8日の香港の最低気温は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。