Recent Met Office guidance shows London’s maximum temperature on August 6 likely reaching 22°C as a northwesterly flow brings cooler maritime air after earlier warmth. Ensemble models cluster tightly around this value, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 22–23°C, so current conditions align closely with seasonal norms rather than the heatwave regime seen earlier in summer. Traders therefore price 22°C and 23°C as near-equals, with smaller probabilities on adjacent outcomes driven by the narrow but non-zero chance that local urban heat-island effects or brief sunny spells push readings one degree higher. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s 5-day forecast on August 5 will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のロンドンの最高気温は？
8月6日のロンドンの最高気温は？
22°C 30%
23°C 28%
24°C 16%
21°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
19°C or below
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
14%
22°C
30%
23°C
28%
24°C
16%
25°C
6%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 30%
23°C 28%
24°C 16%
21°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
19°C or below
$39 Vol.
2%
20°C
$11 Vol.
6%
21°C
$368 Vol.
14%
22°C
$155 Vol.
30%
23°C
$162 Vol.
28%
24°C
$54 Vol.
16%
25°C
$253 Vol.
6%
26°C
$32 Vol.
7%
27°C
$10 Vol.
1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance shows London’s maximum temperature on August 6 likely reaching 22°C as a northwesterly flow brings cooler maritime air after earlier warmth. Ensemble models cluster tightly around this value, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 22–23°C, so current conditions align closely with seasonal norms rather than the heatwave regime seen earlier in summer. Traders therefore price 22°C and 23°C as near-equals, with smaller probabilities on adjacent outcomes driven by the narrow but non-zero chance that local urban heat-island effects or brief sunny spells push readings one degree higher. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s 5-day forecast on August 5 will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$1,113終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance shows London’s maximum temperature on August 6 likely reaching 22°C as a northwesterly flow brings cooler maritime air after earlier warmth. Ensemble models cluster tightly around this value, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 22–23°C, so current conditions align closely with seasonal norms rather than the heatwave regime seen earlier in summer. Traders therefore price 22°C and 23°C as near-equals, with smaller probabilities on adjacent outcomes driven by the narrow but non-zero chance that local urban heat-island effects or brief sunny spells push readings one degree higher. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s 5-day forecast on August 5 will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,113終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance shows London’s maximum temperature on August 6 likely reaching 22°C as a northwesterly flow brings cooler maritime air after earlier warmth. Ensemble models cluster tightly around this value, with limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 22–23°C, so current conditions align closely with seasonal norms rather than the heatwave regime seen earlier in summer. Traders therefore price 22°C and 23°C as near-equals, with smaller probabilities on adjacent outcomes driven by the narrow but non-zero chance that local urban heat-island effects or brief sunny spells push readings one degree higher. Updated model runs and the Met Office’s 5-day forecast on August 5 will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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