Recent monsoon forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate scattered showers and increased cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh through August 6, moderating daytime heating and supporting maximum temperatures near 29–31°C in Lucknow. These conditions align with typical early-August monsoon dynamics, where high humidity and intermittent rainfall suppress peaks below the seasonal average of 32°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small shifts in rain timing or break periods could push readings to 28°C or 32°C+, while longer-range outlooks show limited deviation from observed patterns in the past week. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のラクナウの最高気温は?
29°C 27%
31°C 26%
30°C 25%
28°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
14%
29°C
27%
30°C
25%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
14%
29°C 27%
31°C 26%
30°C 25%
28°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
14%
29°C
27%
30°C
25%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent monsoon forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate scattered showers and increased cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh through August 6, moderating daytime heating and supporting maximum temperatures near 29–31°C in Lucknow. These conditions align with typical early-August monsoon dynamics, where high humidity and intermittent rainfall suppress peaks below the seasonal average of 32°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small shifts in rain timing or break periods could push readings to 28°C or 32°C+, while longer-range outlooks show limited deviation from observed patterns in the past week. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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