Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Tokyo on August 6, driven by a strong Pacific high maintaining hot, humid conditions with limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Urban heat island effects from concrete and asphalt further elevate nighttime readings above the climatological normal of 23.9°C, while variable cloud cover and any scattered showers could enhance or suppress cooling by a degree. The closely matched 25°C and 26°C market prices reflect this narrow range, with outcomes hinging on precise timing of frontal influences and wind patterns in the final 48-hour model runs. Historical August lows average near 24°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline supports the current trader consensus around the upper end of typical values.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日の東京の最低気温は？
8月6日の東京の最低気温は？
25℃ 43%
26°C 40%
24℃ 13%
23°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
20℃以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
6%
24℃
13%
25℃
43%
26°C
40%
27℃
3%
28°C
2%
29℃
1%
30℃以上
1%
25℃ 43%
26°C 40%
24℃ 13%
23°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
20℃以下
$31 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$31 Vol.
1%
22°C
$10 Vol.
5%
23°C
$50 Vol.
6%
24℃
$64 Vol.
13%
25℃
$96 Vol.
43%
26°C
$110 Vol.
40%
27℃
$52 Vol.
3%
28°C
$66 Vol.
2%
29℃
$48 Vol.
1%
30℃以上
$31 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Tokyo on August 6, driven by a strong Pacific high maintaining hot, humid conditions with limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Urban heat island effects from concrete and asphalt further elevate nighttime readings above the climatological normal of 23.9°C, while variable cloud cover and any scattered showers could enhance or suppress cooling by a degree. The closely matched 25°C and 26°C market prices reflect this narrow range, with outcomes hinging on precise timing of frontal influences and wind patterns in the final 48-hour model runs. Historical August lows average near 24°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline supports the current trader consensus around the upper end of typical values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$589終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Tokyo on August 6, driven by a strong Pacific high maintaining hot, humid conditions with limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Urban heat island effects from concrete and asphalt further elevate nighttime readings above the climatological normal of 23.9°C, while variable cloud cover and any scattered showers could enhance or suppress cooling by a degree. The closely matched 25°C and 26°C market prices reflect this narrow range, with outcomes hinging on precise timing of frontal influences and wind patterns in the final 48-hour model runs. Historical August lows average near 24°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline supports the current trader consensus around the upper end of typical values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$589終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Tokyo on August 6, driven by a strong Pacific high maintaining hot, humid conditions with limited nocturnal radiational cooling. Urban heat island effects from concrete and asphalt further elevate nighttime readings above the climatological normal of 23.9°C, while variable cloud cover and any scattered showers could enhance or suppress cooling by a degree. The closely matched 25°C and 26°C market prices reflect this narrow range, with outcomes hinging on precise timing of frontal influences and wind patterns in the final 48-hour model runs. Historical August lows average near 24°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline supports the current trader consensus around the upper end of typical values.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問